Larceny-theft has been the most consistent type of property crime in the city. It increased from 1 incident in 2010 to 2 in 2011, then to 4 in 2012, and 6 in 2013, before decreasing to 2 in 2014. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.65 in 2010 to 4.46 in 2013, then dropped to 1.47 in 2014. Despite these changes, the city's contribution to the state's larceny-theft statistics remained minimal, only reaching 0.01% in 2013.

Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low but persistent. There was 1 incident reported in 2010, none in 2011, 2 in 2012, 1 in 2013, and 1 in 2014. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated between 0 and 1.43 during this period. The city's contribution to the state's motor vehicle theft statistics ranged from 0% to 0.01%, indicating that this crime is not a major concern relative to state levels.

Arson incidents were not reported in the city during the period from 2010 to 2014, suggesting that this particular type of property crime is not a significant issue in the area.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors, we observe that the fluctuations in property crime do not appear to have a strong relationship with population density or median income. The population density decreased from 2,953 per square mile in 2010 to 2,616 in 2014, while median income data is only available from 2013 onwards. However, the percentage of owner-occupied housing units remained high throughout the period, consistently above 87%, which may contribute to the relatively low and inconsistent property crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited and inconsistent data available. However, based on the observed patterns, we might expect property crimes to continue fluctuating within a similar range, possibly between 3 to 9 incidents per year, assuming no significant changes in local conditions or law enforcement strategies.

In summary, Holt has experienced variable but generally low levels of property crime from 2010 to 2014. Larceny-theft appears to be the most common type of property crime, while burglary and motor vehicle theft occur sporadically. The city's contribution to state-wide property crime statistics remains minimal across all categories. The high rate of owner-occupied housing may be a contributing factor to the relatively low crime rates. Moving forward, maintaining community engagement and continuing effective law enforcement strategies will be crucial in managing property crime levels in this small Missouri city.