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Property Crime Trends in Holcomb, Missouri: A Remarkably Low-Crime Community
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Holcomb, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2020, the city experienced minimal property crime activity, with only a few incidents reported. The total number of property crimes fluctuated from zero in most years to a peak of 3 in 2016. This represents a relatively stable crime environment, despite the population growing from 837 in 2010 to 802 in 2022, a slight overall decrease of 4.2%.
Burglary trends in the city have been notably low. Only one burglary was reported in 2016, with no other incidents recorded in the available data. This single occurrence translates to a rate of approximately 1.08 burglaries per 1,000 people in 2016, based on that year's population of 929. The percentage of state burglaries attributed to the city remained at 0% for all years except 2016, where it was negligible. This suggests that burglary is not a significant concern for the local community.
Larceny-theft shows a similar pattern of infrequency. The only reported incidents were two cases in 2016, equating to a rate of about 2.15 thefts per 1,000 residents that year. As with burglary, the city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft remained at 0% throughout the recorded period, with 2016 being the only exception. This indicates that larceny-theft is also not a prevalent issue in the city.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been rare, with only one incident reported in 2015. This single occurrence resulted in a rate of approximately 1.09 thefts per 1,000 residents, based on the 2015 population of 915. The city's share of state-wide motor vehicle thefts was 0.01% in 2015, and 0% in all other years. This suggests that motor vehicle theft is an infrequent crime in the area.
Arson cases were not reported in any of the years for which data is available, indicating that this particular crime is not a concern for the city.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other factors, it's important to note that the limited number of incidents makes it challenging to draw strong conclusions. However, we can observe that the few reported crimes occurred during a period of relative population stability and growth between 2015 and 2016. The median income during this time ranged from $32,953 to $32,615, which was lower than in subsequent years. Home ownership rates were also increasing during this period, from 69% in 2015 to 72% in 2016.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited historical data and the infrequency of reported crimes. However, based on the overall low crime rates and the city's stable population, it's reasonable to predict that property crime rates will likely remain low, possibly with occasional isolated incidents similar to those seen in 2015 and 2016.
In summary, Holcomb demonstrates a remarkably low incidence of property crimes across all categories. The sporadic nature of the few reported crimes suggests that they are isolated events rather than indicative of broader trends. This low crime environment, combined with stable population figures and increasing home ownership rates, paints a picture of a community with a strong sense of security and social cohesion. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive attributes will be key to ensuring the continued safety and well-being of its residents.
