Motor vehicle theft remained constant at 1 incident per year from 2010 to 2013. However, due to the population decrease, the rate per 1,000 people increased marginally from 0.56 to 0.60. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained steady at 0.02%, indicating that this type of crime was relatively rare and stable in the community.

Arson data shows an interesting shift. While there were no reported arsons in 2010 and 2011, one incident was recorded in 2013. This single event represented 0.26% of state arsons, a significant jump for a small city. The arson rate per 1,000 people went from 0 to 0.60 in 2013, highlighting how a single incident can have a notable impact on crime statistics in a small community.

When examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors, a notable relationship emerges with median income. The available data shows that as median income decreased from $46,662 in 2013 to $37,404 in 2022, there was a corresponding decline in overall property crime. This counterintuitive trend suggests that other factors beyond income may be influencing crime rates in the city.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited data available. However, based on the overall decreasing trend observed from 2010 to 2013, it's possible that property crime rates may continue to decline or stabilize at lower levels, assuming no significant changes in local socioeconomic conditions or law enforcement strategies.

In summary, Hill City has experienced a general decrease in property crimes from 2010 to 2013, with larceny-theft showing the most significant reduction. The stability in burglary and motor vehicle theft rates, coupled with the unusual spike in arson, paints a complex picture of property crime in this small Kansas community. These trends, when considered alongside demographic changes, suggest a city that is evolving in terms of safety and community dynamics.