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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Hardin, located in Montana, presents an intriguing case study for property crime analysis. In 2022, the city reported a total of 39 property crimes. The city's population has seen a gradual decline, decreasing from 4,920 in 2010 to 4,478 in 2022, representing a 9% reduction over this period.
Examining burglary trends, we see that in 2022, there were 2 reported cases, accounting for 0.13% of the state's total burglaries. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.45 burglaries per 1,000 residents. The low number suggests that burglary is not a prevalent issue in the city.
Larceny-theft appears to be the most common property crime in the city, with 28 reported cases in 2022. This represents 0.23% of the state's larceny-theft incidents. The rate of larceny-theft is about 6.25 per 1,000 residents. This crime type clearly constitutes the majority of property crimes in the city.
Motor vehicle theft shows 9 reported cases in 2022, accounting for 0.58% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of approximately 2 motor vehicle thefts per 1,000 residents. Interestingly, despite the city's small size, it contributes a higher percentage to the state's motor vehicle theft total compared to other property crime categories. No arson cases were reported in 2022, indicating that this particular crime is not a significant concern for the city at present.
When examining correlations between property crime and other factors, we observe some interesting patterns. The city's population density has decreased from 1,654 people per square mile in 2010 to 1,506 in 2022, coinciding with the overall population decline. During this period, the median income has shown some fluctuation but generally increased from $50,366 in 2013 to $59,482 in 2022. The percentage of owner-occupied housing has decreased from 68% in 2013 to 62% in 2022.
Racial demographics have also shifted, with the white population decreasing from 56% in 2013 to 50% in 2022, while the Native American population has remained relatively stable, ranging from 31% to 37% during this period. The Hispanic population has seen a notable increase from 3% in 2013 to 13% in 2022.
These demographic and economic changes may influence property crime patterns. The decreasing population density and increasing median income could potentially contribute to lower property crime rates, but this would need to be verified with more comprehensive crime data over time.
Predicting future trends based on limited data is challenging, but we can make some cautious projections. Assuming current trends continue, we might expect the population to continue its gradual decline, potentially reaching around 4,300 by 2029. If property crime rates remain proportional to the population, we might see a slight decrease in overall numbers. However, factors such as economic conditions and demographic shifts could influence these projections.
In summary, Hardin presents a unique profile with its declining population, changing demographics, and relatively low property crime numbers. Larceny-theft appears to be the primary concern, while burglary and arson rates are notably low. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft statistics is disproportionately high given its size, which may warrant further attention. As the city continues to evolve demographically and economically, ongoing monitoring of property crime trends will be crucial for effective law enforcement and community safety strategies.