Motor vehicle theft trends have been relatively stable but low. In 2010, there was 1 reported motor vehicle theft, and this number remained at 1 in 2019. However, due to the slight population decrease, the rate per 1,000 residents marginally increased from 0.37 in 2010 to 0.37 in 2019. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained very low, fluctuating between 0% and 0.05% over the years.

Arson incidents have been sporadic and infrequent. The data shows no arsons in most years, with only one incident reported in 2011, 2012, and 2017. This translates to a rate of 0.33, 0.33, and 0.37 per 1,000 residents in those respective years. The city's contribution to state arson incidents in these years was 0.22%, 0.28%, and 0.24%, respectively.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $53,504 in 2013 to $59,139 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a slight correlation between population density and crime rates, with lower densities associated with fewer property crimes.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that property crime rates in Hancock will continue to remain low or potentially decrease further over the next five years (up to 2029). The total number of property crimes could stabilize around 5-10 incidents per year, assuming current socioeconomic conditions persist.

In conclusion, Hancock has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The significant reductions in burglary and larceny-theft, coupled with consistently low rates of motor vehicle theft and arson, suggest effective crime prevention strategies and a strong community fabric. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the continued safety and well-being of its residents.