Motor vehicle theft in the city showed a moderate increase. The number of incidents rose from 10 in 2010 to 12 in 2022, a 20% increase. When adjusted for population, the rate increased from 1.17 to 1.62 thefts per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle thefts also increased slightly from 0.17% to 0.18%. While the increase is not as dramatic as burglaries, it still represents a growing concern for vehicle owners in the area.

Arson data for the city is largely unavailable, with only two data points reported: zero incidents in both 2011 and 2022. This lack of data makes it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The rise in property crimes, particularly burglaries, coincides with a period of declining population density, which decreased from 1,016 people per square mile in 2010 to 884 in 2022. This could suggest that a less densely populated area may be more vulnerable to certain types of property crime.

There appears to be a correlation between the increase in property crimes and changes in the racial composition of the city. The percentage of white residents decreased from 93% in 2013 to 87% in 2022, while the Hispanic population increased from 5% to 9% during the same period. This demographic shift coincides with the rise in property crimes, though it's important to note that correlation does not imply causation.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends over the next seven years (up to 2029, which is five years from now in 2024) suggests a continued increase in overall property crimes if current trends persist. Burglaries are projected to see the most significant growth, potentially reaching over 100 incidents annually. Larceny-theft is expected to stabilize or slightly decrease, while motor vehicle theft may continue its gradual upward trend.

In summary, Haleyville has experienced a complex shift in its property crime landscape from 2010 to 2022. The most striking change is the substantial increase in burglaries, which has offset decreases in other categories like larceny-theft. These trends, occurring alongside demographic changes and population decline, present challenges for law enforcement and community leaders. As the city moves forward, addressing the root causes of these crime trends while adapting to the changing population dynamics will be crucial for improving public safety and maintaining the quality of life for residents.