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Property Crime Trends in Hagan: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Hagan, located in Georgia, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Over the years from 2011 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in total property crimes, with a notable decrease from 15 incidents in 2011 to 0 in 2022, representing a 100% reduction. During this same period, the population grew from 1,900 in 2011 to 2,239 in 2022, an increase of approximately 17.8%.
Burglary trends in the city show a significant decline over time. In 2011, there were 6 burglaries, which decreased to 0 by 2022. This represents a 100% reduction in burglary incidents. When considering population trends, the burglary rate per 1,000 people dropped from 3.16 in 2011 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics also decreased, from 0.02% in 2011 to 0% in 2022. This substantial reduction in burglaries suggests improved security measures or community policing efforts in the city.
Larceny-theft incidents also showed a downward trend. From 9 cases in 2011, the number decreased to 0 in 2022, a 100% reduction. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 people fell from 4.74 in 2011 to 0 in 2022. The city's share of state larceny-theft statistics remained relatively low throughout, starting at 0.01% in 2011 and ending at 0% in 2022. This decline in larceny-theft cases indicates a positive shift in property protection and community awareness.
Motor vehicle theft trends fluctuated but ultimately showed improvement. There were no reported cases in 2011, but the city experienced 2 incidents in 2018 before returning to 0 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.87 in 2018 and returned to 0 by 2022. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics remained minimal, reaching a maximum of 0.02% in 2018 before returning to 0% in 2022. This pattern suggests effective measures were implemented to address a temporary spike in vehicle thefts.
Arson data for the city is limited, with most years reporting no incidents or no available data. The only year with a specific figure is 2012, which reported 0 arson cases. Given the lack of comprehensive data, it's challenging to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and other socioeconomic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $40,263 in 2013 to $56,986 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. This suggests a potential inverse relationship between economic prosperity and property crime incidence. Additionally, the population density increased from 959 people per square mile in 2013 to 1,095 in 2022, while property crimes decreased, indicating that increased density did not lead to higher crime rates in this case.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the low crime rates observed in recent years. Given the consistent decline in property crimes and the complete absence of reported incidents in 2022, the model predicts that the city will likely maintain very low to zero property crime rates in the coming years, assuming current socioeconomic trends and community safety measures remain in place.
In summary, Hagan has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime statistics over the past decade. The significant reductions in burglary, larceny-theft, and motor vehicle theft, coupled with population growth and increasing median income, paint a picture of a community that has successfully addressed property crime issues. This positive trend sets an encouraging example for similar-sized cities aiming to enhance public safety and community well-being.
