Motor vehicle theft in the city remained stable, with 17 incidents reported in both 2010 and 2020. However, the rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.96 to 0.65 due to population growth. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained relatively constant, moving from 0.07% to 0.07% over the decade.

Arson data for the city shows zero incidents reported from 2010 to 2020, indicating either an absence of arson crimes or potential underreporting. This consistent zero figure results in a 0% contribution to state arson statistics throughout the period.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between population density and property crime rates. As density increased from 839 per square mile in 2010 to 1,230 in 2020, the overall property crime rate per 1,000 people decreased. Additionally, the rise in median income from $61,454 in 2013 to $72,333 in 2020 coincides with a general stabilization of property crime rates, suggesting a potential correlation between economic improvement and crime reduction.

Applying predictive models based on historical trends, it's projected that by 2029, the city may experience a slight increase in overall property crimes to approximately 185-190 incidents annually. This forecast assumes continued population growth and economic development patterns similar to those observed in the past decade.

In summary, Groveland has shown resilience in managing property crime rates despite significant population growth. The most notable trends include the relative decrease in per capita crime rates across categories, particularly in larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft, while maintaining a vigilant stance against arson. These findings suggest that as the city continues to grow, it has the potential to further improve its crime prevention strategies and maintain a safer environment for its residents.