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Property Crime Trends in Green Bay: A Decade of Change in the Packers' Hometown
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Green Bay, Wisconsin, a city known for its rich football history and picturesque location on Lake Michigan, has experienced notable shifts in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes in Green Bay decreased by 28.9%, from 2,595 to 1,844 incidents. This significant reduction occurred alongside a modest population growth of 1.8%, from 104,266 to 106,096 residents during the same period.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a substantial decline over time. In 2010, there were 568 reported burglaries, which dropped to 251 by 2022, representing a 55.8% decrease. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 5.45 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 2.37 per 1,000 in 2022. Interestingly, despite this decrease in absolute numbers, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 3.24% in 2010 to 3.92% in 2022. This suggests that while the city has made progress in reducing burglaries, the improvement has been less pronounced compared to the state average.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, also demonstrated a downward trend. The number of incidents decreased from 1,917 in 2010 to 1,419 in 2022, a 26% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 18.39 in 2010 to 13.37 in 2022. The city's proportion of state larceny thefts increased slightly from 2.51% to 3.35% over this period, indicating that the city's improvement in this category was somewhat slower than the state average.
Motor vehicle theft exhibited a more complex pattern. While the number of incidents increased from 110 in 2010 to 174 in 2022, representing a 58.2% rise, the rate per 1,000 residents grew from 1.06 to 1.64. However, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 1.66% to 1.32%, suggesting that this increase was less severe than the state-wide trend.
Arson cases in the city fluctuated over the years but showed an overall increase. The number of incidents rose from 6 in 2010 to 8 in 2022, a 33.3% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents increased slightly from 0.06 to 0.08. The city's proportion of state arsons rose from 1.28% to 1.96%, indicating that arson became a relatively larger issue in Green Bay compared to the rest of the state.
A strong correlation was observed between property crime trends and median income. As the median income increased from $42,519 in 2013 to $55,177 in 2022, a 29.8% rise, the total property crime rate decreased by 31.3% during the same period. This suggests that improving economic conditions may have contributed to the reduction in property crimes.
Based on these trends, predictive models forecast a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates for Green Bay over the next five years. By 2029, the total number of property crimes is projected to decrease by approximately 15-20% from the 2022 levels, with burglary and larceny theft expected to show the most significant reductions.
In conclusion, Green Bay has made substantial progress in reducing property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny theft. However, challenges remain in addressing motor vehicle theft and arson. The city's improving economic conditions appear to be a positive factor in this trend. As Green Bay continues to evolve, maintaining focus on community-based crime prevention strategies and economic development will be crucial in sustaining and enhancing these positive trends in property crime reduction.
