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Property Crime Trends in Grandview Plaza, Kansas: A Decade of Fluctuations Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Grandview Plaza, located in Kansas, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2021, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, with a notable decrease from 36 incidents in 2010 to 32 in 2021, representing an 11.1% reduction. This trend occurred against a backdrop of significant population growth, with the city expanding from 1,336 residents in 2010 to 2,036 by 2022, marking a substantial 52.4% increase.
Burglary trends in the city have shown considerable variability. In 2010, there were 11 burglaries, which peaked at 19 in 2011 before declining to 8 in 2021. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 8.23 in 2010 to 3.96 in 2021, indicating a significant improvement in this area. However, the city's contribution to state-wide burglaries increased from 0.07% in 2010 to 0.22% in 2021, suggesting that while local rates improved, they did not keep pace with state-wide reductions.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, demonstrated a slight downward trend. The number of incidents decreased from 25 in 2010 to 22 in 2021. When considering population growth, the rate per 1,000 residents dropped significantly from 18.71 in 2010 to 10.9 in 2021. The city's share of state-wide larceny thefts increased from 0.05% to 0.12% over this period, indicating that the local reduction was less pronounced than the state average.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low, with some fluctuations. There were no reported cases in 2010, 2013, and 2017, while the highest number was 12 in 2018. By 2021, there were 2 reported cases. The rate per 1,000 residents in 2021 was 0.99, up from 0 in 2010. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle thefts increased from 0% in 2010 to 0.07% in 2021, suggesting a slight worsening relative to state trends.
Arson incidents have been rare in the city, with only three reported cases over the entire period (one each in 2011, 2012, and 2019). The sporadic nature of these incidents makes it difficult to establish meaningful trends or rates.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 1,577 per square mile in 2010 to 2,404 in 2022, the overall property crime rate per 1,000 residents decreased. There's also a weak positive correlation between the percentage of owner-occupied housing and reduced property crime rates, with ownership rates fluctuating between 34% and 48% from 2013 to 2022.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Burglary rates are likely to continue their downward trend, while larceny theft may plateau. Motor vehicle theft could see minor fluctuations but is expected to remain relatively low.
In summary, Grandview Plaza has experienced a complex evolution in property crime trends against a backdrop of significant population growth. The most notable improvements have been in burglary rates, while larceny theft remains the predominant property crime concern. The city's changing demographic composition and increasing population density appear to have influenced these trends, suggesting that continued community engagement and targeted crime prevention strategies could further enhance public safety in the coming years.
