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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Grandin, Missouri, is a small rural community that has experienced notable changes in its property crime rates over recent years. Between 2011 and 2013, the total number of property crimes decreased from 2 to 0, representing a 100% reduction. During this same period, the population declined from 176 in 2011 to 132 in 2013, a decrease of about 25%.
The city's burglary trends show a consistent pattern of zero reported incidents from 2011 to 2013. This absence of burglaries indicates a remarkably low crime rate in this category, especially when considering the population decline. The burglary rate per 1,000 people remained at 0 throughout this period, and the percentage of state burglaries attributable to Grandin was consistently 0%. This suggests that the city has maintained a high level of security against break-ins and unauthorized entries.
Larceny-theft incidents in the city showed a notable change over the observed period. In 2011, there were 2 reported cases of larceny-theft, which then dropped to 0 in both 2012 and 2013. This represents a 100% decrease in larceny-theft incidents. When adjusted for population, the larceny-theft rate per 1,000 people went from approximately 11.36 in 2011 to 0 in subsequent years. The percentage of state larceny-theft attributable to Grandin was 0% throughout the period, indicating that these incidents had a negligible impact on state-wide statistics.
Motor vehicle theft in Grandin remained at 0 incidents from 2011 to 2013. This consistency in the absence of motor vehicle thefts, despite population changes, suggests effective prevention measures or a lack of opportunity for such crimes in this small community. The rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state motor vehicle thefts remained at 0 throughout this period.
Arson cases in the city also showed a consistent pattern of 0 incidents from 2011 to 2013. This stability in the absence of arson cases, regardless of population fluctuations, indicates a very low risk of intentional property damage by fire in the community. The arson rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state arson cases attributable to Grandin remained at 0% throughout the observed period.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other socioeconomic factors, a strong relationship emerges with population density. As the population density decreased from 439 people per square mile in 2011 to 329 in 2013, property crimes dropped from 2 to 0. This suggests that the lower population density may have contributed to reduced opportunities for property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, it's projected that Grandin will likely maintain its low property crime rates through 2029. The consistent zero incidents in most categories from 2012 to 2013, coupled with the ongoing population changes, suggest that property crimes will remain rare occurrences in the community.
In summary, Grandin has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime statistics, with a complete elimination of reported incidents by 2013. This trend, coupled with demographic changes, paints a picture of a small community that has effectively managed to maintain a safe environment for its residents. The correlation between decreasing population density and reduced property crimes highlights the unique dynamics of rural communities in managing public safety.