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Property Crime Trends in Grand Tower, Illinois: A Small City's Unique Challenges with Arson
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Grand Tower, located in Illinois, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. In 2010, the city reported a total of 9 property crimes. Over the years, the population has fluctuated, starting at 893 in 2010 and decreasing to 615 by 2022, representing a 31.1% decline.
The burglary rate in the city showed a significant presence in 2010, with 3 reported cases. This translates to approximately 3.36 burglaries per 1,000 residents. Interestingly, burglaries accounted for 0.01% of the state's total burglaries that year, which is a notable figure for a small city. The burglary rate per capita was relatively high, considering the city's small population. This suggests that while the absolute number of burglaries was low, their impact on the community was significant due to the small population size.
Larceny-theft incidents in 2010 totaled 6 cases, equivalent to about 6.72 thefts per 1,000 residents. Despite this seemingly high rate per capita, the city's contribution to the state's overall larceny-theft cases was negligible, registering at 0.0% of the state total. This indicates that while larceny-theft was the most common property crime in Grand Tower, it was not a significant contributor to the state's overall property crime statistics.
Motor vehicle theft appears to have been non-existent in Grand Tower in 2010, with 0 reported cases. This absence of motor vehicle thefts is notable, especially given the presence of other property crimes. It suggests that the city may have had effective measures in place to prevent this specific type of crime, or that the characteristics of the community (such as its rural nature or close-knit population) may have deterred potential vehicle thieves.
Arson cases in 2010 were reported at 3 incidents, which is surprisingly high for a small city, representing about 3.36 cases per 1,000 residents. More strikingly, these 3 cases accounted for 0.29% of the state's total arson cases. This disproportionately high percentage suggests that arson was a particular concern for Grand Tower in 2010, warranting special attention from local law enforcement and fire prevention services.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other socioeconomic factors, a strong relationship emerges with the city's changing population density. As the population density decreased from 715 people per square mile in 2010 to 492 in 2022, it likely influenced the overall number of property crimes. The lower density may have contributed to reduced opportunities for certain types of property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from the current year 2024), Grand Tower may see a further reduction in overall property crime rates if the population continues to decline at the current rate. The city's small size and decreasing population density could lead to even lower absolute numbers of property crimes, potentially dropping below the 2010 total of 9 incidents.
In summary, Grand Tower's property crime landscape in 2010 was characterized by a mix of concerns, with larceny-theft being the most common but arson having a disproportionate impact on state statistics. The city's declining population over the years likely played a significant role in shaping its property crime trends. As the city moves forward, continued monitoring and adaptive strategies will be crucial in maintaining and improving public safety in this small Illinois community.
