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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Gordon, Alabama, a small city with a population of 1,364 in 2022, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. In 2022, the city reported a total of 7 property crimes, with a population that has grown by 18.2% since 2013. This analysis will delve into the specific property crime trends and their relationship to various demographic factors.
Burglary trends in the city show a relatively low incidence, with only one reported case in 2022. This translates to a rate of 0.73 burglaries per 1,000 residents, which is notably low. The burglary rate represented 0.01% of the state's total, indicating that the city contributes minimally to Alabama's overall burglary statistics. Given the small population, even a single case can significantly impact the city's crime rate, making it crucial to monitor these figures closely over time.
Larceny-theft appears to be the most prevalent property crime in the area, with 6 reported cases in 2022. This equates to 4.4 incidents per 1,000 residents. Like burglary, larceny-theft in the city accounts for 0.01% of the state's total, suggesting that while it's the most common property crime locally, it still represents a small fraction of Alabama's larceny-theft occurrences. The relatively higher number of larceny-theft cases compared to other property crimes may indicate a need for focused prevention strategies in this area.
Motor vehicle theft and arson statistics for 2022 show zero reported cases. This absence of incidents is particularly noteworthy for a city of this size, potentially reflecting effective law enforcement strategies or community vigilance. The lack of motor vehicle thefts and arsons contributes to a lower overall property crime rate and suggests a relatively safe environment for residents' vehicles and properties.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's population density increased from 333 people per square mile in 2017 to 467 in 2022, a 40.2% increase. Concurrently, the median income rose from $38,683 in 2017 to $47,320 in 2022, a 22.3% increase. Despite these changes, the property crime rate remains low, suggesting that the growing population and increasing wealth have not led to a proportional increase in property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the current low crime rates. If population growth and economic development continue at similar rates, the city might expect to maintain its low property crime levels. However, as the population approaches 1,500, there may be a slight increase in larceny-theft cases, potentially reaching 8-10 incidents annually by 2029. Burglary rates are predicted to remain stable at 1-2 cases per year, while motor vehicle theft and arson are expected to remain rare occurrences.
In summary, Gordon demonstrates a remarkably low property crime rate despite its growing population and increasing median income. The most significant property crime concern is larceny-theft, though it remains low compared to state averages. The absence of motor vehicle thefts and arsons contributes to the city's overall safety profile. As the community continues to grow and prosper, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for sustaining the quality of life for its residents.