Motor vehicle theft in the city has fluctuated but shows an overall increase. From 3 incidents in 2010, it rose to 6 in 2022, representing a 100% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 3.67 in 2010 to 10.95 in 2022. Importantly, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.01% in 2010 to 0.08% in 2022, suggesting a significant rise in the city's contribution to this crime category at the state level.

Arson incidents have remained consistently at zero throughout the observed period, from 2010 to 2022. This stability indicates that arson has not been a significant concern for the community during this time.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 2,509 per square mile in 2010 to 1,683 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime incidents. However, the rates of specific crimes like burglary and motor vehicle theft per capita increased, suggesting that the remaining population became more vulnerable to these crimes.

The median income data, available from 2013 onwards, shows a fluctuating but generally high income level, consistently above $170,000. Despite this wealth, property crimes persisted, albeit at relatively low absolute numbers. This suggests that the city's affluence may have made it a target for certain types of property crimes, particularly burglaries and motor vehicle thefts.

Racial distribution trends show an increase in the Hispanic population from 33% in 2013 to 43% in 2022, while the white population decreased from 65% to 56% over the same period. This demographic shift coincided with changes in property crime patterns, though a direct causal relationship cannot be established without further analysis.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Golden Beach may see a slight increase in burglaries and motor vehicle thefts, potentially reaching 7-8 incidents each annually. Larceny-theft is expected to remain very low or at zero. The overall property crime rate may stabilize around 15-18 incidents per year, assuming the population remains relatively stable.

In summary, Golden Beach has experienced a complex evolution in its property crime landscape. While overall property crime incidents have decreased, specific categories like burglary and motor vehicle theft have shown concerning increases relative to the population size. The city's increasing share of state crime statistics in these categories, despite its small size, warrants attention. These trends, coupled with demographic shifts and consistently high income levels, paint a picture of a changing community facing evolving security challenges.