Loading Content...
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Glendora, a city in California, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes increased by 7.3%, from 1,249 to 1,158. During this same period, the population grew by 4.9%, from 51,286 to 53,786 residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown a significant decrease over time. In 2010, there were 228 burglaries, which dropped to 199 by 2022, representing a 12.7% decrease. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 4.44 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 3.70 per 1,000 in 2022. Interestingly, despite this decrease, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.12% in 2010 to 0.17% in 2022, suggesting that burglary rates may have decreased more rapidly in other parts of the state.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, saw a slight decrease over the years. In 2010, there were 946 larceny thefts, which decreased to 869 by 2022, a 8.1% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people also decreased from 18.45 in 2010 to 16.16 in 2022. However, the city's share of state larceny thefts remained relatively stable, decreasing slightly from 0.18% in 2010 to 0.17% in 2022.
Motor vehicle theft trends have shown an increase over the study period. In 2010, there were 75 motor vehicle thefts, which rose to 90 by 2022, a 20% increase. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 1.46 in 2010 to 1.67 in 2022. Despite this increase, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained relatively stable, moving from 0.06% in 2010 to 0.06% in 2022.
Arson cases in the city have fluctuated over the years but show an overall decreasing trend. In 2010, there were 9 arson cases, which decreased to 4 by 2020 (the last year with available data). This represents a 55.6% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people also decreased from 0.18 in 2010 to 0.07 in 2020. The city's share of state arson cases decreased from 0.15% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2020, indicating a significant improvement relative to the state average.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate negative correlation between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $85,045 in 2013 to $103,723 in 2022, overall property crime rates showed a slight downward trend. This suggests that rising incomes may contribute to reduced property crime rates.
Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between changes in racial demographics and property crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased from 57% in 2013 to 42% in 2022, and the Hispanic population increased from 30% to 40% during the same period, property crime rates fluctuated but showed an overall slight decrease. This suggests that demographic shifts may have some influence on property crime patterns in the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of recent trends. Based on the data, we might expect to see a further slight decrease in overall property crime rates, continued decline in burglary rates, relatively stable larceny theft rates with potential for minor fluctuations, a possible slight increase in motor vehicle thefts if current trends persist, and arson rates likely to remain low, possibly with minor fluctuations.
In summary, Glendora has experienced a complex evolution of property crime trends over the past decade. While some categories like burglary and arson have seen significant decreases, others like motor vehicle theft have increased. The city's changing demographics and increasing median income appear to have some correlation with these trends. As Glendora continues to evolve, ongoing monitoring and adaptive crime prevention strategies will be crucial in maintaining and improving public safety.