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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Gideon, Missouri, a small community with a fluctuating population, has experienced notable changes in property crime rates over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes varied significantly, peaking at 14 incidents in 2014 and dropping to zero in 2022. This represents a 100% decrease in property crimes over the 12-year period. During the same timeframe, the population declined from 1,186 in 2010 to 760 in 2022, a decrease of about 35.9%.
Burglary trends in the city have been inconsistent. The highest number of burglaries occurred in 2014 with 4 incidents, representing 0.02% of the state's total. In terms of population-adjusted rates, this equated to approximately 3.73 burglaries per 1,000 residents. However, by 2022, burglaries had dropped to zero, indicating a complete elimination of this crime type. The sporadic nature of burglary incidents suggests that they may be isolated events rather than part of a consistent pattern in this small community.
Larceny-theft has shown similar fluctuations. The peak was also in 2014 with 10 incidents, or about 9.33 thefts per 1,000 residents. This represented 0.01% of the state's larceny-theft cases that year. By 2022, larceny-theft had also decreased to zero. The reduction in larceny-theft cases could be attributed to various factors, including community policing efforts or changes in local economic conditions.
Motor vehicle theft has been relatively rare in the city. The highest number recorded was 2 incidents in 2017, which accounted for 0.01% of the state's total. This translated to about 1.66 thefts per 1,000 residents. Like other property crimes, motor vehicle theft had reduced to zero by 2022. The low incidence of this crime type may be related to the city's small size and potentially limited targets for such theft.
Arson cases have been infrequent, with only two years (2016 and 2017) reporting any incidents. In both years, there was 1 case of arson, representing 0.12% and 0.13% of the state's total, respectively. These incidents occurred when the population was around 1,120-1,208, resulting in a rate of approximately 0.89 and 0.83 arsons per 1,000 residents in 2016 and 2017. The rarity of arson cases suggests they are isolated events rather than a persistent issue in the community.
There appears to be a correlation between property crime rates and population density. As the population density decreased from 662 per square mile in 2010 to 424 per square mile in 2022, overall property crime rates also declined. This could suggest that lower population density may contribute to reduced opportunities for property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that property crime rates in Gideon will likely remain very low or at zero for the next five years (up to 2029). This forecast is based on the consistent downward trend observed in recent years and the current absence of reported property crimes.
In summary, Gideon has experienced a significant reduction in property crimes over the past decade, culminating in zero reported incidents across all categories by 2022. This trend, coupled with the declining population, suggests a shift in the city's safety profile. The challenge moving forward will be to maintain this low crime rate while addressing other potential socio-economic factors that may have contributed to the population decline.