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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Gibson, a small community in Tennessee, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade, set against a backdrop of population growth. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly from 17 to 0, representing a 100% reduction. During this same period, the population grew from 1,109 to 1,248.5 residents, an increase of about 12.6%.
Burglary trends in the city have shown a general decline over the years. In 2010, there were 3 reported burglaries, which decreased to 0 by 2013. However, there were slight fluctuations, with 4 burglaries reported in 2011 and 2014. When considering the population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people dropped from 2.71 in 2010 to 0 in 2020. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics remained minimal, typically around 0.01% when burglaries occurred, indicating that these crimes were relatively infrequent compared to state levels.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also showed a downward trend. From 12 incidents in 2010, it decreased to 0 by 2020. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 10.82 in 2010 to 0 in 2020. The city's share of state larceny-theft incidents remained low, typically at 0.01% or less, suggesting that these crimes were not a significant issue relative to state figures.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been sporadic and infrequent. There were 2 incidents in 2010, followed by years with either 1 or 0 thefts. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 1.80 in 2010 to 0 by 2020. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics was minimal, usually at 0.01% or 0.02% when incidents occurred, indicating that this crime was not a major concern relative to state levels.
Arson cases were non-existent throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2020, with no reported incidents. Consequently, the arson rate per 1,000 people and the city's contribution to state arson statistics remained at 0% throughout this timeframe.
A strong correlation exists between the decline in property crimes and the increase in median income. As the median income rose from $45,135 in 2013 to $52,930.5 in 2020, property crimes decreased from 7 to 0. This suggests that improved economic conditions may have contributed to the reduction in property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests that the city is likely to maintain its low property crime rates. Given the consistent decrease in property crimes over the past decade and the complete absence of reported incidents in 2020, it's projected that Gibson will continue to experience very low to zero property crime rates in the coming years, assuming current socioeconomic trends persist.
In conclusion, Gibson has made remarkable progress in reducing property crimes over the past decade, with all categories of property crime showing significant decreases or remaining at zero. This positive trend, coupled with population growth and rising median incomes, paints a picture of a community that has effectively addressed property crime issues. The forecast suggests that Gibson is likely to maintain its status as a low-crime area in the coming years, contributing to its appeal as a safe and growing community in Tennessee.