Motor vehicle theft remained constant at zero incidents in both 2021 and 2022. Consequently, the rate per 1,000 people and the percentage contribution to state figures also remained at zero. This absence of motor vehicle thefts is a positive indicator for the city's property crime situation.

Similarly, arson cases were reported as zero in both years, with no change in the rate per 1,000 people or contribution to state figures. The consistent absence of arson cases suggests a stable situation regarding this specific type of property crime.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a notable relationship between property crime trends and home ownership rates. As the percentage of owner-occupied homes increased from 76% in 2021 to 77% in 2022, total property crimes decreased. This could suggest that higher rates of home ownership might contribute to lower property crime rates, possibly due to increased community investment and vigilance.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued decrease in overall property crime rates if current trends persist. The model suggests that by 2029, the total number of property crimes could potentially drop to around 5-6 incidents per year, assuming consistent population growth and stable socioeconomic factors.

In summary, Geronimo has shown a generally positive trend in property crime reduction from 2021 to 2022, with significant decreases in larceny-theft and stable (zero) rates for motor vehicle theft and arson. The slight increase in burglaries, while noteworthy, is offset by improvements in other areas. The correlation between increased home ownership and decreased property crime suggests that community stability may play a role in crime prevention. As the city continues to grow, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for ensuring the safety and security of its residents.