Motor vehicle theft in the city has shown a more modest decline. From 11 cases in 2011, it decreased to 4 in 2022, a 63.6% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 0.77 to 0.28. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased slightly from 0.07% to 0.02%. While the reduction is positive, the relatively small numbers suggest that motor vehicle theft was not a major issue in the city to begin with.

Arson cases in the city have remained low but showed a slight increase. From no reported cases in 2011, there was 1 case reported in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents went from 0 to 0.07. The city's contribution to state arson cases increased from 0% to 0.12%. While this represents a numerical increase, the overall numbers remain very low, indicating that arson is not a significant concern in the city.

A strong correlation exists between the decline in property crimes and the slight increase in median income. As the median income rose from $36,961 in 2013 to $45,293 in 2022, property crimes decreased, suggesting that improved economic conditions may have contributed to reduced criminal activity.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, it's estimated that by 2029 (five years from now), the city could see a further reduction in property crimes to around 60-70 incidents annually if current trends continue. This projection assumes that the factors contributing to the crime reduction remain stable or improve.

In summary, Galion has experienced a remarkable decrease in property crimes across all categories over the past decade. The most significant reductions were seen in burglary and larceny-theft, which have positive implications for community safety and quality of life. The correlation with rising median income suggests that economic improvements may have played a role in this positive trend. If these trends continue, Galion is poised to maintain its low crime rates, potentially becoming one of the safer small cities in Ohio.