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Property Crime Trends in Galesville, Wisconsin: A Tale of Fluctuating Burglary Rates
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Galesville, located in Wisconsin, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2016 to 2020, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, ultimately decreasing by 58.33% from 24 incidents in 2016 to 10 in 2020. During this same period, the population grew from 2,704 to 3,023.5, representing an 11.82% increase.
Burglary rates in the city showed significant volatility. In 2016, there were 7 burglaries, which dropped dramatically to 1 in 2017, and further to 0 in 2018. However, the numbers rose again to 2 in 2019 and 4 in 2020. When considering the population trends, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 2.59 in 2016 to 1.32 in 2020. Interestingly, the city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, hovering around 0.05% in both 2016 and 2020, despite the fluctuations in between. This suggests that while the absolute numbers changed, the city's contribution to state burglary statistics remained consistent.
Larceny-theft incidents showed a general downward trend. From 16 cases in 2016, the number dropped to 8 in 2017, further decreased to 6 in 2018, and then slightly increased to 7 in 2019 before falling to 5 in 2020. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 5.92 in 2016 to 1.65 in 2020, indicating a significant improvement in this category. The city's percentage of state larceny-theft remained low, decreasing from 0.03% in 2016 to 0.01% in 2020, suggesting that the local improvements outpaced state-level changes.
Motor vehicle theft in the city remained minimal throughout the period. There was only one reported case in 2016, followed by zero cases in 2017, 2018, and 2019, before another single case occurred in 2020. The rate per 1,000 people was negligible, at 0.37 in 2016 and 0.33 in 2020. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics was consistently low at 0.01% in both 2016 and 2020, indicating that this type of crime was not a significant issue for the community.
Arson cases were non-existent in the reported data, with zero incidents from 2016 to 2020. Consequently, there was no measurable impact on the population-based rate or contribution to state statistics.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As the median income increased from $52,647 in 2016 to $70,116 in 2020, the total property crime incidents decreased from 24 to 10. This suggests that improving economic conditions may have contributed to reduced property crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, we anticipate a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates over the next five years (until 2029). Based on the historical data and current trends, we might expect the total number of property crimes to remain in the range of 8-12 incidents annually, assuming no significant changes in socioeconomic factors or law enforcement strategies.
In summary, Galesville has experienced a general improvement in property crime rates from 2016 to 2020, with notable decreases in larceny-theft and fluctuations in burglary rates. The city's contribution to state crime statistics remained relatively low across all categories. The inverse correlation between rising median income and decreasing property crime rates suggests that economic factors may play a role in the city's crime trends. As the community continues to grow and evolve, maintaining focus on economic development and community engagement could help sustain these positive trends in property crime reduction.
