Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Fulton, Texas: A Story of Improvement and Homeownership
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Fulton, a small town in Texas, presents an intriguing case study of property crime trends from 2013 to 2017. During this period, the town experienced significant fluctuations in total property crimes, starting at 55 in 2013, peaking at 60 in 2014, and then declining to 30 in 2017, marking a 45.5% overall decrease. Simultaneously, the population saw modest growth, increasing from 1,245 in 2013 to 1,261 in 2017, a 1.3% rise.
Burglary incidents in Fulton showed a general downward trend over the observed period. The number of burglaries decreased from 25 in 2013 to 18 in 2017, representing a 28% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 20.1 in 2013 to 14.3 in 2017. Despite this local improvement, Fulton's contribution to state burglary figures remained relatively stable at 0.02% throughout the period, suggesting that the local trend aligned with statewide patterns.
Larceny-theft cases in Fulton demonstrated considerable volatility. Starting at 28 incidents in 2013, the number peaked at 33 in 2014 before dramatically falling to 9 in 2017, a 67.9% overall decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents declined from 22.5 in 2013 to 7.1 in 2017. Notably, the town's share of state larceny-theft cases dropped from 0.01% to 0%, indicating a more pronounced local improvement compared to state trends.
Motor vehicle theft trends in Fulton were erratic during the study period. From 2 incidents in 2013, the number rose to 4 in 2014, dropped to zero in both 2015 and 2016, then increased to 3 in 2017. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, from 1.6 in 2013 to 2.4 in 2017. Fulton's contribution to state motor vehicle theft figures varied between 0% and 0.01%, suggesting minimal impact on statewide statistics.
Arson cases in Fulton remained consistently at zero throughout the observed period, indicating no reported incidents from 2013 to 2017. This stability suggests either effective fire prevention measures or possibly underreporting of such incidents in the town.
An examination of correlations reveals a notable relationship between property crime trends and population density in Fulton. As population density decreased from 885 per square mile in 2013 to 800 in 2016, property crimes also declined from 55 to 37. However, in 2017, despite an increase in density to 896, property crimes continued to decrease to 30, suggesting that other factors may also influence crime rates in the town.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends in Fulton, a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates is anticipated by 2029. Burglary rates are expected to continue their downward trend, potentially reaching around 12-15 incidents per year. Larceny-theft might stabilize at 10-12 cases annually. Motor vehicle theft is projected to remain low, averaging 1-2 incidents per year. Arson cases are likely to remain at or near zero, barring any significant changes in local conditions.
In summary, Fulton has demonstrated an overall improvement in property crime rates from 2013 to 2017, with significant reductions in burglary and larceny-theft. The town's contribution to state crime figures has remained minimal, suggesting localized improvements. These trends, coupled with population fluctuations, indicate a complex interplay of factors influencing crime rates in this small Texas community.
