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Property Crime Trends in Fulton, Mississippi: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Fulton, located in Mississippi, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade, coupled with moderate population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes increased by 73.33%, from 75 to 130 incidents. During this same period, the population grew by 5.41%, from 7,154 to 7,541 residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant variability. In 2010, there were 14 burglaries, which decreased to 8 in 2022, representing a 42.86% reduction. However, this trend was not consistent, with notable spikes in certain years. For instance, burglaries peaked at 36 in 2018, corresponding to 5.13 incidents per 1,000 people. By 2022, this rate had dropped to 1.06 per 1,000 people. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated dramatically, from 0.08% in 2010 to a high of 0.99% in 2020, before settling at 0.24% in 2022. These fluctuations suggest periodic challenges in property security within the community.
Larceny-theft has been the most prevalent property crime in the city. The number of incidents nearly doubled from 60 in 2010 to 113 in 2022, an 88.33% increase. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 8.39 in 2010 to 14.98 in 2022. Notably, larceny-theft peaked at 191 incidents in 2017, representing 27.98 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft increased substantially from 0.18% in 2010 to 0.80% in 2022, indicating a growing share of this crime type relative to the state.
Motor vehicle theft trends have been erratic. From 1 incident in 2010, the number increased to 9 in 2022, a 900% rise. However, there were several years with zero reported cases. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.14 in 2010 to 1.19 in 2022. The city's portion of state motor vehicle thefts grew significantly from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.53% in 2022, suggesting an increasing problem relative to state trends.
Arson data for the city is limited, with most years reporting zero incidents or no data available. This consistent lack of reported arson cases indicates it is not a significant concern for the community.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between property crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 842 per square mile in 2010 to 888 in 2022, property crimes also generally trended upward. Additionally, the rise in median income from $33,713 in 2015 to $46,005 in 2022 coincided with fluctuations in property crime, suggesting a complex relationship between economic factors and crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on historical trends, it's projected that by 2029, Fulton may see a continued moderate increase in overall property crimes. Larceny-theft is likely to remain the predominant issue, potentially reaching around 130-140 incidents annually. Burglaries may stabilize around 10-15 cases per year, while motor vehicle thefts could increase to 12-15 incidents annually if current trends persist.
In summary, Fulton has experienced a general upward trend in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in larceny-theft, despite some fluctuations in specific crime categories. The city's growing contribution to state crime statistics, especially in larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft, warrants attention. These trends, coupled with population growth and economic changes, present ongoing challenges for law enforcement and community safety initiatives in Fulton.
