Motor vehicle theft showed a more complex trend. The number of incidents increased from 16 in 2016 to 22 in 2022, a 37.5% rise. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 1.01 to 1.41. However, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained stable at 0.1%, suggesting that this increase was in line with state trends. This rise in motor vehicle thefts, despite overall decreases in other property crimes, may indicate a need for targeted prevention strategies in this area.

Arson cases in the city have remained low but showed an increase from 0 reported cases in 2016 to 1 in 2022. While this represents a numerical increase, the rate per 1,000 people remains very low at 0.06 in 2022. The city's share of state arson cases increased from 0% to 0.12%, indicating that this single case had a noticeable impact on the city's contribution to state arson statistics.

Examining correlations between crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The decrease in property crimes coincides with a slight increase in the percentage of owner-occupied housing, which rose from 64% in 2016 to 65% in 2022. This could suggest a link between property ownership and reduced crime rates. Additionally, the median income fluctuated during this period, rising from $57,020 in 2016 to $60,545 in 2021 before dropping to $56,175 in 2022. The initial increase in median income correlates with the decrease in property crimes, potentially indicating that improved economic conditions may contribute to reduced crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued overall decline in property crimes, albeit at a slower rate. Burglaries are expected to stabilize around 30-35 incidents per year, while larceny-theft may continue to decrease slightly to around 300-310 cases annually. Motor vehicle thefts are projected to remain relatively stable or show a slight increase, potentially reaching 25-30 incidents per year. Arson cases are likely to remain very low, with 0-2 incidents per year.

In summary, Franklin has demonstrated a positive trend in reducing property crimes over the past six years, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. The correlation between increased home ownership and decreased crime rates suggests that community stability may play a role in crime reduction. However, the rise in motor vehicle thefts and the recent drop in median income highlight areas that may require continued attention. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive trends while addressing emerging challenges will be crucial for ensuring the safety and well-being of its residents.