Motor vehicle theft trends showed a significant increase over the period. In 2010, there were 25 reported cases, which rose to 62 in 2022, a 148% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 0.32 in 2010 to 0.61 in 2022, a 90.6% rise. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts grew from 0.46% in 2010 to 0.63% in 2022, suggesting that this crime type has become a growing concern relative to state trends.

Arson cases in the city remained relatively low but fluctuated over the years. From 1 case in 2010 to 1 case in 2022, the absolute number remained unchanged. However, the rate per 1,000 residents decreased slightly from 0.013 to 0.0098 due to population growth. The city's share of state arsons varied significantly, from 0.16% in 2010 to a peak of 2.73% in 2019, before settling at 0.18% in 2022.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As the median income rose from $95,590 in 2013 to $125,159 in 2022, an increase of 30.9%, the overall property crime rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 9.65 to 7.56, a 21.7% reduction. This suggests that rising incomes may contribute to lower property crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall property crime rates. Burglary rates are expected to stabilize at around 0.35 per 1,000 residents. Larceny theft may continue to decrease slightly to about 6 per 1,000 residents. Motor vehicle theft rates might plateau at around 0.65 per 1,000 residents. Arson cases are predicted to remain low but could fluctuate between 0 to 3 cases annually.

In summary, Fishers has demonstrated resilience in managing property crime despite rapid population growth. The significant decrease in burglary rates, coupled with the relatively stable larceny theft rates when adjusted for population, indicates improved community safety measures. However, the rise in motor vehicle thefts presents an area for focused attention. The strong correlation between rising median incomes and decreasing crime rates suggests that economic prosperity plays a crucial role in community safety. As the city continues to grow, maintaining this balance between economic development and crime prevention will be key to ensuring a safe and thriving community.