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Property Crime Trends in Englewood, Ohio: A Decade of Significant Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Englewood, Ohio, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, ultimately decreasing by 22.4% from 420 to 326 incidents. During this same period, the population grew by 5.1%, from 11,233 to 11,808 residents, suggesting a potential disconnect between population growth and crime rates.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend over the years. In 2010, there were 46 burglaries, which decreased to 16 by 2022, representing a 65.2% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 4.09 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 1.36 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.05% and 0.12% of the state total, with 2022 showing 0.07%. This substantial decrease in burglaries, despite population growth, suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, exhibited a less dramatic but still notable decrease. Incidents dropped from 362 in 2010 to 293 in 2022, a 19.1% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 32.23 to 24.81 over the same period. Interestingly, the city's share of state larceny-thefts increased slightly from 0.24% in 2010 to 0.29% in 2022, indicating that while local rates decreased, they did so at a slower pace than the state average. This trend suggests that while progress has been made, larceny-theft remains a persistent challenge for the community.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has shown fluctuations but an overall increase. In 2010, there were 12 reported thefts, which increased to 17 in 2022, a 41.7% rise. The rate per 1,000 residents grew from 1.07 to 1.44. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained relatively stable, ranging from 0.04% to 0.12%, ending at 0.07% in 2022. This upward trend, contrasting with the overall decrease in property crime, may indicate a need for targeted prevention efforts in this specific area.
Arson cases in the city have been relatively rare but showed some concerning spikes. From zero reported cases in 2010, arson incidents peaked at 5 in 2017 and 2020, before decreasing to 1 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents went from 0 to 0.08. Most notably, the city's share of state arsons dramatically increased from 0% in 2010 to 0.77% in 2020, before falling to 0.12% in 2022. These fluctuations, while involving small numbers, represent significant percentage changes and may warrant closer attention from law enforcement.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income rose from $58,674 in 2013 to $70,030 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 442 to 326. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime rates. Additionally, there's a notable correlation between the increase in racial diversity and the overall decrease in property crimes. The percentage of white residents decreased from 83% in 2013 to 77% in 2022, coinciding with the general downward trend in property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can expect the overall downward trend to continue, albeit at a slower rate. Burglaries are projected to stabilize around 12-15 cases annually. Larceny-theft is expected to continue its gradual decline, potentially reaching around 260-280 cases per year. Motor vehicle theft may see a slight increase, possibly reaching 20-22 cases annually. Arson cases are likely to remain low but unpredictable, averaging 1-2 cases per year.
In conclusion, Englewood has shown notable progress in reducing overall property crime rates, particularly in burglaries and larceny-thefts. However, the slight increase in motor vehicle thefts and the fluctuations in arson cases highlight areas requiring continued vigilance. The correlations between rising median income, increasing diversity, and declining crime rates suggest that economic development and community integration may play crucial roles in further reducing property crimes in the coming years.
