Motor vehicle theft in the city fluctuated but generally trended downward. From 14 incidents in 2012, it decreased to 6 in 2019, a 57.1% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 2.50 in 2012 to 1.13 in 2019. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained relatively stable, ranging between 0.03% and 0.09% during this period.

Arson cases were rare in the city, with only one reported incident in 2019, representing 0.1% of the state's arson cases for that year. The lack of consistent arson data makes it difficult to establish a clear trend for this crime category.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $30,563 in 2013 to $46,585 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. This suggests a potential inverse relationship between economic prosperity and property crime rates. The percentage of owner-occupied housing remained relatively stable, ranging from 70% to 76% during this period, which may have contributed to community stability and lower crime rates.

The racial composition of the city remained predominantly white throughout the period, with the white population consistently above 90%. The slight increase in diversity, with the Hispanic population growing from 0% in 2013 to 2% in 2022, did not appear to have a significant impact on property crime trends.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the downward trend. Based on the historical data and current socio-economic factors, it's projected that property crime rates will remain very low or potentially reach zero consistently if current conditions persist. However, it's important to note that the dramatic drop to zero reported cases in 2022 may be an anomaly, and some fluctuation in low numbers of property crimes could occur in the coming years.

In summary, Eldorado has experienced a remarkable reduction in property crime over the past decade, with all categories of property crime showing significant decreases. This positive trend coincides with rising median incomes and stable community demographics. While the city has faced population decline, the improvement in property crime rates suggests effective law enforcement strategies and community engagement. As Eldorado moves forward, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the city's overall quality of life and economic development prospects.