Motor vehicle theft exhibited an overall increase, from 3 incidents in 2010 to 3 in 2019, with significant fluctuations in between, peaking at 8 in 2018. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 1.58 in 2010 to 1.63 in 2019. Notably, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.02% in 2010 to 0.05% in 2018, before dropping to 0.02% in 2019. This volatile trend might indicate sporadic activity of organized theft rings or changes in local economic conditions affecting vehicle theft opportunities.

Arson cases in the city were rare but showed a concerning spike in 2019. From 1 incident in 2010, there were no reported cases from 2011 to 2018. However, in 2019, 2 arson cases were reported, representing a 100% increase from 2010. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 0.53 in 2010 to 1.09 in 2019. Most strikingly, the city's share of state arsons jumped from 0.1% in 2010 to 0.34% in 2019, a significant increase that warrants attention from local law enforcement.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong relationship between property crime trends and changes in racial distribution. As the white population percentage decreased from 91% in 2013 to 83% in 2022, there was a corresponding increase in diversity, particularly in the Hispanic and two or more races categories. This demographic shift coincided with fluctuations in property crime rates, suggesting potential socio-economic factors at play.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a slight overall decrease in property crimes. Burglaries are expected to stabilize around 3-4 incidents per year, while larceny-theft may continue its gradual decline to about 15-16 cases annually. Motor vehicle thefts are predicted to fluctuate between 3-5 incidents per year. The recent spike in arson cases is concerning, and while it's difficult to predict rare events, vigilance is warranted to prevent further occurrences.

In conclusion, Duenweg's property crime landscape reflects a complex interplay of demographic changes and societal factors. While some crime categories have shown improvement, others, particularly motor vehicle theft and the recent spike in arson, present ongoing challenges. The city's changing racial composition correlates with these trends, highlighting the need for community-oriented policing strategies that address the needs of a diversifying population. As the city moves forward, tailored crime prevention measures and community engagement will be crucial in maintaining and improving public safety.