Motor vehicle theft trends present a different picture. In 2010, there were 19 reported cases, which increased to 75 in 2022, a significant 294.7% rise. The rate per 1,000 residents grew from 0.38 in 2010 to 1.14 in 2022. More notably, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased dramatically from 0.11% in 2010 to 0.33% in 2022. This suggests that motor vehicle theft has become a growing concern for the city, outpacing both population growth and statewide trends.

Arson cases in the city have remained relatively low but fluctuated over the years. From 8 cases in 2010, the number decreased to 1 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 0.16 in 2010 to 0.02 in 2022. The city's contribution to state arson cases varied widely, from 0% in some years to a peak of 0.64% in 2021, before settling at 0.12% in 2022. These fluctuations, given the low numbers, suggest that arson is not a persistent problem but may occur in sporadic incidents.

Examining correlations between crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density increased from 2,022 per square mile in 2010 to 2,673 in 2022, overall property crime rates decreased. This suggests that the growing urbanization of the area did not lead to an increase in property crimes, contrary to some common assumptions.

The city's median income saw a significant increase from $125,643 in 2013 to $137,555 in 2022. This rise in affluence correlates with the overall decrease in property crimes, particularly burglaries and larceny-thefts. However, it's worth noting that the increase in motor vehicle thefts occurred despite rising incomes, potentially indicating a specific targeting of high-value vehicles in the area.

The racial composition of the city has also shifted over the years, with the Asian population increasing from 13% in 2013 to 19% in 2022, while the white population decreased from 79% to 72% in the same period. This demographic shift coincides with the overall decrease in property crimes, suggesting that the changing racial diversity has not negatively impacted crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of current trends. Burglary and larceny-theft rates are likely to stabilize or continue their gradual decline. However, motor vehicle thefts may continue to rise if current trends persist, potentially reaching around 100-120 cases annually by 2029. Arson cases are expected to remain low but may continue to show sporadic increases.

In conclusion, Dublin has experienced a notable decrease in overall property crime rates despite significant population growth over the past decade. The city's rising affluence and changing demographics have coincided with improvements in most property crime categories, particularly burglaries and larceny-thefts. However, the increase in motor vehicle thefts presents a challenge that may require targeted prevention strategies. As the city continues to grow and evolve, maintaining and enhancing current crime prevention measures will be crucial in sustaining the positive trends observed in most property crime categories.