Motor vehicle theft in Dorris has remained relatively low but variable. The number of incidents ranged from a low of 1 in 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2019 to a high of 3 in 2013, 2015, and 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, from 0.80 in 2010 to 2.41 in 2022. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics has been consistently reported at 0.0%, indicating that these crimes have minimal impact on statewide figures.

Arson cases in Dorris have been rare, with only two reported incidents in 2010. Since then, no arson cases have been recorded, except for 2022 where data was not available. The arson rate per 1,000 residents was 1.60 in 2010 and has been zero in subsequent years with available data. The city's contribution to state arson figures was 0.03% in 2010 and has been 0.0% since then, suggesting that arson is not a significant concern in the community.

Examining correlations between crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $31,615 in 2013 to $34,586 in 2022, there was a general decrease in property crimes, particularly larceny thefts. This suggests that improved economic conditions may contribute to lower property crime rates. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing increased from 67% in 2013 to 75% in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes. This could indicate that higher home ownership rates are associated with lower property crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, burglaries are expected to remain in the range of 7-10 incidents annually, larceny thefts may continue to decrease slightly to around 5-8 cases per year, and motor vehicle thefts are likely to remain low at 1-3 incidents annually. However, these predictions should be interpreted cautiously due to the small population size and the potential impact of unforeseen factors.

In summary, Dorris has experienced a general improvement in property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in larceny thefts. The community's contribution to statewide crime figures remains minimal across all categories. The observed correlations between rising median income, increased home ownership, and declining property crime rates suggest that economic and social stability may play a role in reducing criminal activity. As the city moves forward, maintaining and building upon these positive trends will be crucial for ensuring the continued safety and well-being of its residents.