Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Diamond Bar: A Decade of Fluctuations and Demographic Shifts
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Diamond Bar, located in California, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in total property crimes, with a notable increase from 808 in 2010 to 969 in 2022, representing a 20% rise. During this same timeframe, the population remained relatively stable, showing a slight decrease from 53,756 in 2010 to 53,540 in 2022, a marginal decline of 0.4%.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant variations over the years. In 2010, there were 250 burglaries, which peaked at 381 in 2017, before declining to 256 in 2022. This represents a 2.4% increase from 2010 to 2022. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents increased from 4.65 in 2010 to 4.78 in 2022. Notably, the city's share of state burglaries rose from 0.14% in 2010 to 0.22% in 2022, indicating a growing contribution to California's overall burglary incidents.
Larceny theft incidents fluctuated but ultimately increased over the observed period. From 480 cases in 2010, the number rose to 614 in 2022, marking a 27.9% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents grew from 8.93 in 2010 to 11.47 in 2022. The city's portion of state larceny thefts also increased from 0.09% to 0.12% during this period, suggesting a faster growth rate compared to the state average.
Motor vehicle theft trends showed volatility but an overall increase. The number of thefts rose from 78 in 2010 to 99 in 2022, a 26.9% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 1.45 to 1.85 over the same period. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained relatively stable, moving from 0.06% in 2010 to 0.06% in 2022, indicating that the growth rate was consistent with state trends.
Arson cases in the city have been relatively low but showed some fluctuation. From 2 cases in 2010, the number increased to 4 in 2020, the last year with available data. This represents a 100% increase, though the small numbers make percentage changes less meaningful. The rate per 1,000 residents increased marginally from 0.037 to 0.074 between 2010 and 2020. The city's share of state arsons fluctuated, peaking at 0.09% in 2011 before declining to 0.04% in 2020.
Examining correlations, a strong relationship is observed between property crime trends and the city's changing racial demographics. As the Asian population increased from 54% in 2013 to 60% in 2022, there was a corresponding rise in overall property crimes. Additionally, the slight decrease in median income from $104,746 in 2019 to $105,090 in 2022 coincided with an increase in property crimes during the same period.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued upward trajectory in overall property crimes. Based on historical patterns, burglaries are expected to stabilize around 270-280 cases annually, while larceny thefts may reach up to 650-670 cases per year. Motor vehicle thefts are projected to increase moderately, potentially reaching 110-120 cases annually by 2029.
In summary, Diamond Bar has experienced an overall increase in property crimes from 2010 to 2022, with larceny theft showing the most significant growth. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has generally increased across all categories, indicating a faster growth rate of property crimes compared to the state average. These trends, coupled with demographic shifts and economic factors, suggest a complex interplay of variables influencing crime patterns in the city. As Diamond Bar continues to evolve, ongoing monitoring and adaptive strategies will be crucial in addressing these property crime trends.
