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Property Crime Trends in Delta, Missouri: A Decade of Remarkable Safety
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Delta, Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Over the examined period from 2010 to 2021, the city experienced minimal property crime activity, with only one recorded incident in 2017. This singular event stands out against a backdrop of zero reported property crimes in all other years. Concurrently, the population has shown significant fluctuation, decreasing from 899 in 2010 to 638 in 2021, representing a 29% decline over this period.
The burglary trend in the city is notably sparse, with only one incident reported in 2017. This translates to a rate of approximately 1.81 burglaries per 1,000 residents for that year, based on the population of 553. In all other years, the burglary rate remained at zero. The percentage of state burglaries attributable to the city was consistently 0% throughout the period, except for the minimal contribution in 2017. This isolated incident does not indicate a broader trend or significant concern for the community.
Larceny-theft statistics for the city show no reported incidents throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2021. Consequently, the larceny-theft rate per 1,000 residents and the city's contribution to state larceny-theft figures remained at zero. This absence of larceny-theft reports suggests a remarkably low level of this type of crime in the community, potentially indicative of strong community cohesion or effective crime prevention measures.
Motor vehicle theft data mirrors the larceny-theft trend, with no reported incidents from 2010 to 2021. The rate per 1,000 residents and the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts consistently remained at zero. This absence of motor vehicle thefts could be attributed to various factors, including effective local policing or the characteristics of the local community.
Arson incidents were also non-existent in the city throughout the examined period. The arson rate per 1,000 residents and the city's contribution to state arson figures remained at zero from 2010 to 2021. This consistent absence of arson cases suggests a community environment where such crimes are exceptionally rare.
Given the extremely low incidence of property crimes, it is challenging to draw meaningful correlations between crime trends and other socioeconomic factors such as population density, median income, or home ownership rates. The data does not provide a basis for identifying strong correlations between these metrics and property crime rates in this particular city.
Applying predictive models to forecast future property crime trends in this context is challenging due to the near-zero historical data. However, based on the consistent pattern of minimal to no property crime over the past decade, it is reasonable to project that this trend will likely continue for the next five years, extending to 2029. Barring any significant changes in local conditions or broader regional trends, the city can expect to maintain its extremely low property crime rates.
In summary, Delta exhibits an exceptionally low incidence of property crimes across all categories examined. The single reported burglary in 2017 stands as an anomaly in an otherwise crime-free record spanning over a decade. This pattern suggests a community that has maintained a high level of safety and security despite population fluctuations. The consistent absence of property crimes in this small Missouri city presents a unique case that may warrant further study to understand the underlying factors contributing to this remarkably low crime environment.
