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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Dania Beach, a coastal city in Florida's Broward County, has experienced notable shifts in property crime trends alongside population growth in recent years. From 2017 to 2020, the total number of property crimes decreased by 9.4%, from 1,129 to 1,023 incidents. During this same period, the population increased by 0.6%, from 41,882 to 42,124 residents.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend. In 2017, there were 177 burglaries, which decreased to 142 by 2020, representing a 19.8% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 4.23 to 3.37 incidents per 1,000 residents. Interestingly, despite this local decrease, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.37% to 0.49%, suggesting a potentially more pronounced decline in burglaries at the state level.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the area, also saw a decrease. The number of incidents dropped from 852 in 2017 to 751 in 2020, a 11.9% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 20.34 to 17.83. However, similar to burglary, the city's proportion of state larceny-theft incidents increased from 0.35% to 0.42%, indicating a potential statewide trend of decreasing larceny-theft at a faster rate than in this locality.
Motor vehicle theft exhibited a more complex pattern. While there was an initial increase from 100 incidents in 2017 to 158 in 2018, the number subsequently decreased to 130 by 2020. This represents a net increase of 30% over the four-year period. The rate per 1,000 residents rose from 2.39 in 2017 to 3.09 in 2020. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts also increased significantly from 0.38% to 0.57%, suggesting a local trend that diverged from state patterns.
Arson cases in the city, while relatively low in number, showed fluctuations. From 6 incidents in 2017, it dropped to 1 in 2018, then rose to 3 by 2020. Despite these fluctuations, the city's share of state arson cases decreased from 0.75% to 0.41%, indicating that arson may have become more prevalent elsewhere in the state relative to this locality.
A strong correlation was observed between property crime trends and changes in racial demographics. As the Hispanic population increased from 28% in 2017 to 33% in 2020, and the white population decreased from 47% to 41%, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime rates. This suggests potential shifts in community dynamics that may influence crime patterns.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, we anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall property crime rates over the next five years (up to 2029). Burglary and larceny-theft are expected to continue their downward trend, while motor vehicle theft may stabilize or slightly decrease after its recent uptick. Arson cases are predicted to remain low but may continue to fluctuate due to their small numbers.
In summary, Dania Beach has experienced a general decline in property crime rates despite population growth, with notable decreases in burglary and larceny-theft. The city's changing demographic composition appears to correlate with these crime trends, suggesting a complex interplay between population dynamics and criminal activity. As the city continues to evolve, ongoing monitoring of these trends will be crucial for maintaining and improving public safety measures.