Motor vehicle theft emerged as a recent issue in Corder, with the first reported incident in 2020 and two cases in 2021. This resulted in rates of 1.76 and 3.32 per 1,000 people in 2020 and 2021, respectively. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle thefts rose to 0.01% in these years, suggesting a new area of concern for local law enforcement. Arson has not been reported in the city throughout the period from 2010 to 2021, indicating that it is not a significant issue for the community.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive relationship between population growth and property crime incidents in Corder. As the population increased from 519 in 2010 to 620 in 2022, property crimes rose from 0 to 2. However, the correlation is not strong enough to suggest a direct causal relationship. Interestingly, the years with the highest median incomes (2020 and 2021) also saw an increase in property crimes, particularly motor vehicle thefts. This could suggest that as the community became more affluent, it may have become a target for certain types of property crime.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it is projected that property crime rates in Corder may continue to fluctuate but remain relatively low over the next five years (up to 2029). The city might expect to see between 2 to 4 property crimes annually, with motor vehicle theft potentially becoming a more persistent issue if recent trends continue.

In conclusion, Corder has experienced low but variable property crime rates over the past decade. The emergence of motor vehicle theft as a new concern in recent years warrants attention from local law enforcement. While the overall property crime rate remains low, the community should remain vigilant, particularly as it continues to grow and prosper economically. The sporadic nature of property crimes in the city suggests that targeted prevention efforts could be effective in maintaining the generally low crime rates observed in this small Missouri community.