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Property Crime Trends in Colusa: A Decade of Decline Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Colusa, located in California, has experienced notable changes in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 38.7%, from 124 to 76 incidents. During this same period, the population grew by 0.95%, from 7,710 to 7,783 residents, indicating a divergence between population growth and crime rates.
Burglary incidents in the city have shown a significant downward trend. In 2010, there were 37 burglaries, which decreased to 16 by 2022, representing a 56.8% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 4.80 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 2.06 per 1,000 in 2022. Despite this substantial decrease, the city's contribution to state-wide burglary incidents remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.01% and 0.04% of the state's total. This suggests that while local efforts may have been effective in reducing burglaries, the city's share of state-wide burglaries has not significantly changed.
Larceny-theft cases also demonstrated a declining trend. The number of incidents dropped from 77 in 2010 to 49 in 2022, a 36.4% decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 9.99 in 2010 to 6.30 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft remained consistently low, hovering around 0.01% throughout the period. This indicates that the reduction in larceny-theft aligns with broader state-wide trends.
Motor vehicle theft showed more volatility but ultimately decreased. From 10 incidents in 2010, it peaked at 20 in 2013 before declining to 11 in 2022, representing a 10% overall decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents went from 1.30 in 2010 to 1.41 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft remained steady at around 0.01%, suggesting that local fluctuations did not significantly impact the state-wide picture.
Arson data for the city is limited, with most years reporting zero incidents or no data available. This lack of data makes it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $54,438 in 2013 to $53,687 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. However, the relationship is not perfectly linear, suggesting other factors are at play.
The Hispanic population percentage remained stable at around 50% from 2013 to 2022, while the white population slightly decreased from 46% to 42%. During this period, property crime rates decreased, indicating no strong correlation between these demographic shifts and crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), property crime in the city could potentially decrease further to around 65-70 incidents annually, assuming current trends continue and no significant changes in socio-economic factors occur.
In summary, Colusa has experienced a notable decrease in property crime rates across most categories over the past decade, outpacing its population growth. This trend, coupled with the stable median income and demographic composition, suggests that local crime prevention strategies may have been effective. However, the city's contribution to state-wide crime figures has remained relatively constant, indicating that these improvements are part of broader regional trends rather than isolated local phenomena.
