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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Colony, Kansas, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. With a population of 679 in 2022, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over recent years. From 2017 to 2020, the total number of property crimes remained relatively low, with only one year (2019) showing any reported incidents. During this period, the population decreased from 908 to 839, representing a 7.6% decline.
Regarding burglary trends, the city experienced a single reported incident in 2019, which accounted for 0.03% of the state's total burglaries that year. This translates to a rate of 2.27 burglaries per 1,000 residents based on the 2019 population of 880. In all other years from 2017 to 2020, no burglaries were reported. The isolated nature of this incident makes it challenging to establish a definitive trend, but it does highlight the rarity of such crimes in the city.
Larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, and arson showed no reported incidents from 2017 to 2020. This consistent absence of these types of property crimes suggests that the city has maintained a relatively safe environment for its residents in these areas. The lack of reported incidents across these categories indicates that the city's property crime issues, when they do occur, are primarily limited to burglary.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other socioeconomic factors, the limited data makes it difficult to draw strong connections. However, it's worth noting that the single reported burglary in 2019 coincided with a year when the median income was $55,924, which was higher than the previous two years but lower than the subsequent years. The percent of owner-occupied housing remained stable at 0.69 from 2018 to 2019, suggesting no immediate correlation between homeownership and the isolated burglary incident.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited historical data and the infrequent nature of reported crimes. However, based on the available information, it's reasonable to predict that property crime rates will likely remain low, with the possibility of occasional, isolated incidents. The city's small population and historically low crime rates suggest that any significant increase in property crimes is unlikely barring major demographic or economic changes.
In summary, Colony demonstrates a remarkably low incidence of property crimes, with only one reported burglary in the four-year period from 2017 to 2020. This isolated incident, coupled with the absence of other types of property crimes, paints a picture of a community with minimal property crime concerns. The city's small size and relatively stable population likely contribute to this low crime environment, though ongoing vigilance and community engagement will be crucial in maintaining this positive trend in the coming years.