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Property Crime Trends in Clyde, Ohio: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Clyde, Ohio, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2011 to 2020, the city experienced a significant decrease in total property crimes, dropping from 203 to 65 incidents, representing a 68% reduction. This decline occurred against a backdrop of relatively stable population, which saw a slight decrease from 9,012 in 2011 to 8,635 in 2020, a change of about 4%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a substantial decline over the years. In 2011, there were 50 burglaries reported, which decreased to 11 by 2020, marking a 78% reduction. When adjusted for population, this translates to a drop from 5.55 burglaries per 1,000 residents in 2011 to 1.27 per 1,000 in 2020. The city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.04% and 0.11% over the decade. This suggests that while the city improved its burglary situation, the improvement was somewhat in line with statewide trends.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also saw a significant decrease. In 2011, there were 151 reported cases, which fell to 54 in 2020, a 64% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 16.76 in 2011 to 6.25 in 2020. The city's proportion of state larceny-theft cases fluctuated between 0.04% and 0.14% during this period, with the highest percentage occurring in 2015. This indicates that the city's improvement in larceny-theft was more pronounced than the state average in some years.
Motor vehicle theft in the city remained low throughout the decade, with the highest number of reported cases being 4 in 2018. By 2020, there were no reported motor vehicle thefts. The rate per 1,000 residents never exceeded 0.46 (in 2018) and dropped to zero by 2020. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained consistently low, never exceeding 0.03% of the state total.
Arson cases in the city were sporadic and infrequent. The highest number of reported arsons was 3 in 2015, representing 0.19% of the state's total that year. In most years, including 2020, there were no reported arson cases. Given the low frequency, it's difficult to establish a clear trend for arson in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $47,555 in 2013 to $56,462 in 2020, total property crimes decreased from 171 in 2014 to 65 in 2020. This suggests that improving economic conditions may have contributed to the reduction in property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's reasonable to forecast that property crime rates in Clyde will continue to decrease or stabilize at low levels over the next five years (up to 2029). Burglary and larceny-theft rates are likely to remain below 2 per 1,000 residents and 7 per 1,000 residents, respectively. Motor vehicle theft is expected to remain rare, with fewer than 2 cases per year. Arson cases are predicted to remain sporadic and infrequent.
In summary, Clyde has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The significant reductions in burglary and larceny-theft, coupled with consistently low rates of motor vehicle theft and arson, paint a picture of a community that has effectively addressed property crime issues. This positive trend, potentially influenced by improving economic conditions, suggests that Clyde is likely to maintain its status as a relatively safe community with respect to property crimes in the coming years.
