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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Clyde, a town in North Carolina, has experienced notable changes in property crime trends alongside population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2016, the total number of property crimes increased slightly from 35 to 38, representing an 8.57% increase. During this same period, the population grew from 3,605 in 2010 to 4,351 in 2016, a significant increase of 20.69%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a marked decrease over time. In 2010, there were 19 burglaries reported, which dropped to 11 in 2016, representing a 42.11% decrease. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 5.27 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 2.53 per 1,000 in 2016. The city's share of state burglaries remained constant at 0.04% in both years, suggesting that the decline was in line with statewide trends.
Larceny-theft incidents, on the other hand, saw an increase. In 2010, there were 15 reported cases, which rose to 27 in 2016, an 80% increase. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 4.16 in 2010 to 6.21 in 2016. More significantly, the city's share of state larceny-theft incidents increased from 0.01% to 0.03%, indicating a faster rise in these crimes compared to the state average.
Motor vehicle theft showed a decrease, with one reported case in 2010 and none in 2016. This represents a 100% decrease, with the rate per 1,000 people dropping from 0.28 to 0. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts also decreased from 0.01% to 0%, suggesting an improvement in this area relative to state trends.
Arson cases remained at zero for both 2010 and 2016, with no change in the city's share of state arson incidents, consistently at 0%.
When examining correlations, a notable relationship emerges between property crime trends and median income. As the median income increased from $35,080 in 2013 to $45,137 in 2016, there was a corresponding increase in overall property crimes, particularly larceny-theft. This could suggest that as the economic situation improved, there may have been more valuable items available as targets for theft.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a potential continuation of the observed patterns. Burglary rates are likely to continue their downward trend, possibly reaching near-zero levels. Larceny-theft, however, may continue to increase, albeit at a slower rate as preventive measures and awareness improve. Motor vehicle theft is expected to remain low or non-existent, while arson cases are predicted to stay at zero.
In summary, Clyde has experienced a shift in its property crime landscape, with a decrease in burglaries and motor vehicle thefts, but an increase in larceny-theft incidents. These changes have occurred against a backdrop of significant population growth and rising median incomes. The diverging trends in different types of property crimes suggest a need for targeted approaches to crime prevention and community safety initiatives in the coming years.