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Property Crime Trends in Cleveland, Georgia: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Cleveland, located in Georgia, has experienced notable changes in property crime trends alongside population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly from 226 to 78, representing a 65.5% reduction. During the same period, the population grew from 5,229 to 6,424, an increase of 22.9%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a substantial decline over time. In 2010, there were 84 burglaries, which dropped to just 11 in 2022, marking an 86.9% decrease. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 16.1 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 1.7 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated but generally decreased, from 0.24% in 2010 to 0.12% in 2022. This significant reduction in burglaries suggests improved security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the area, also saw a downward trend. In 2010, there were 137 larceny-theft incidents, which decreased to 63 in 2022, a 54% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 26.2 in 2010 to 9.8 in 2022. Interestingly, the city's share of state larceny-theft incidents decreased from 0.14% in 2010 to 0.09% in 2022, indicating that the reduction in this crime type outpaced the state average. This trend suggests improved community vigilance or successful crime prevention programs targeting petty theft.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low but fluctuated over the years. From 5 incidents in 2010, it decreased to 4 in 2022, a 20% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people dropped slightly from 0.96 in 2010 to 0.62 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts varied, from 0.04% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2022, showing that this crime type has remained a small but persistent issue relative to state figures.
Arson incidents were not reported in the data provided for Cleveland, suggesting either a lack of occurrences or incomplete reporting.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As the median income increased from $33,106 in 2013 to $52,240 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 206 to 78. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime rates.
Population density shows a weak correlation with property crime trends. Despite the population density increasing from 1,348 per square mile in 2010 to 1,657 in 2022, property crimes decreased, indicating that other factors have a more significant influence on crime rates in this city.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that property crime rates will continue to decrease over the next five years. By 2029, total property crimes could potentially drop to around 50-60 incidents per year if current trends persist. However, this projection assumes that socioeconomic factors remain relatively stable and that law enforcement and community prevention efforts continue at their current levels of effectiveness.
In summary, Cleveland has experienced a significant reduction in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglaries and larceny-theft, despite population growth. This positive trend, coupled with rising median incomes, suggests an improving quality of life for residents. The city's share of state property crimes has generally decreased, indicating that local crime reduction efforts may be outperforming state averages. As the community continues to grow and evolve, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for ensuring the long-term safety and prosperity of Cleveland.
