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Property Crime Trends in Cleveland, Alabama: A Tale of Stability and Change
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Cleveland, Alabama, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes in this small community increased slightly from 13 to 14 incidents, representing a 7.7% rise. During the same period, the population grew from 3,253 to 3,364, a 3.4% increase, suggesting that crime growth outpaced population growth marginally.
Burglary rates in the city remained stable, with two incidents reported in both 2010 and 2022. However, when considering population changes, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased slightly from 0.61 in 2010 to 0.59 in 2022. Interestingly, the city's share of state burglaries doubled from 0.01% to 0.02% over this period, indicating that while local rates remained relatively steady, they increased in proportion to state totals.
Larceny-theft incidents saw a minor decrease from 11 cases in 2010 to 10 in 2022, a 9.1% reduction. When adjusted for population, the rate dropped from 3.38 per 1,000 residents to 2.97, showing a more significant improvement in relative terms. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft figures remained constant at 0.02%, suggesting that this trend aligns with broader state patterns.
Motor vehicle theft experienced a notable increase, rising from zero incidents in 2010 to two in 2022. This change is particularly significant when considering the rate per 1,000 residents, which went from 0 to 0.59. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts also increased from 0% to 0.03%, indicating a disproportionate rise compared to state trends.
Arson data for 2010 was not available, but in 2022, zero incidents were reported. This lack of arson cases is positive for the community, maintaining a 0% contribution to state arson statistics.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The increase in motor vehicle thefts coincides with a gradual decrease in median income from $55,790 in 2019 to $43,601 in 2022, suggesting a potential relationship between economic conditions and this type of crime. Additionally, the slight increase in overall property crimes aligns with a marginal increase in population density from 410 per square mile in 2018 to 428 in 2022, possibly indicating that growing urbanization may contribute to crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (until 2029) suggests a potential continuation of current patterns. Burglary rates are likely to remain stable or show a slight decrease, while larceny-theft may continue its gradual downward trend. Motor vehicle theft could potentially increase further if economic conditions do not improve. Overall property crime rates may see a modest increase, closely tied to population growth and density changes.
In summary, Cleveland's property crime landscape shows a mixed picture of stability in some areas and concerning trends in others. The most significant discoveries include the sharp rise in motor vehicle thefts and the stability of burglary rates despite population growth. These trends, coupled with socioeconomic changes, underscore the need for targeted crime prevention strategies, particularly in addressing motor vehicle theft and maintaining the positive trajectory in larceny-theft reduction.
