Motor vehicle theft remained constant with 1 incident reported in both 2021 and 2022. However, due to population growth, the rate per 1,000 people slightly decreased from 0.16 to 0.15. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained steady at 0.01%, indicating that this crime category is relatively stable and consistent with state-wide patterns.

Arson incidents were not reported in either 2021 or 2022, with the city maintaining a 0% share of state arsons. This absence of arson cases suggests that it is not a significant concern for the community during this period.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 3,768 per square mile in 2021 to 3,971 in 2022, property crime rates decreased. Additionally, there's a notable correlation with racial demographics, as the percentage of white residents increased slightly from 97% to 97.5% during this period, coinciding with the decrease in property crimes.

Applying predictive models based on the limited data available, we can cautiously forecast that property crime rates may continue to decrease over the next five years, potentially reaching around 3-4 total incidents by 2029 if current trends persist. However, this prediction should be interpreted with caution due to the limited historical data.

In summary, Cicero has experienced a significant improvement in its property crime situation, with substantial decreases in burglary and larceny-theft, and stable low rates of motor vehicle theft and arson. These positive trends, occurring alongside population growth and increased density, suggest that the city is effectively managing public safety concerns. The correlation with demographic changes and the potential for continued improvement in crime rates paint an optimistic picture for the community's future safety outlook.