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Property Crime Trends in Chiefland, Florida: A Decade of Significant Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Chiefland, a city in Florida, has witnessed a remarkable decrease in property crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes fell by 64.9%, from 276 to 97, while the population remained relatively stable with a slight 0.7% decrease from 4,125 to 4,097 residents. This significant reduction in crime occurred despite minimal changes in the city's population.
Burglary incidents in Chiefland have shown a substantial decrease over time. The number of reported burglaries dropped from 115 in 2010 to 49 in 2020, representing a 57.4% decrease. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents declined from 27.9 in 2010 to 12.0 in 2020. Interestingly, despite this decrease in absolute numbers, Chiefland's share of state burglaries increased from 0.13% in 2010 to 0.17% in 2020, suggesting that while burglaries have decreased in the city, they have done so at a slower rate compared to the state average.
Larceny theft also experienced a significant decline in Chiefland. Reported cases dropped from 120 in 2010 to 48 in 2020, marking a 60% decrease. The larceny theft rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 29.1 in 2010 to 11.7 in 2020. The city's share of state larceny thefts decreased from 0.05% in 2010 to 0.03% in 2020, indicating that the reduction in larceny theft in Chiefland outpaced the state average.
Motor vehicle theft showed the most dramatic improvement in Chiefland. From 41 reported cases in 2010, it dropped to zero in 2020, representing a 100% reduction. The motor vehicle theft rate per 1,000 residents fell from 9.9 in 2010 to 0 in 2020. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.17% in 2010 to 0% in 2020, suggesting a significant improvement in this area compared to state trends. Arson data remained consistently at zero throughout the observed period, indicating no reported cases from 2010 to 2020.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income in Chiefland. As the median income increased from $28,079 in 2013 to $38,749.5 in 2020, property crimes decreased from 272 to 97 during the same period. This suggests that improving economic conditions may have contributed to the reduction in property crimes. Additionally, there's a noticeable correlation between the percentage of owner-occupied housing and property crime rates. As the percentage of owner-occupied housing increased from 62% in 2013 to 68% in 2020, property crimes decreased. This could indicate that higher rates of homeownership may contribute to lower property crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, property crime rates in Chiefland could potentially decrease further to around 50-60 incidents per year, assuming current socioeconomic trends continue. In summary, Chiefland has experienced a significant overall reduction in property crimes from 2010 to 2020, with particularly notable decreases in burglary, larceny theft, and motor vehicle theft. These improvements coincide with increases in median income and homeownership rates, suggesting potential links between economic stability, community investment, and reduced property crime. If these trends continue, Chiefland may see further reductions in property crime rates in the coming years, potentially positioning it as a model for small-city crime reduction strategies.
