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Property Crime Trends in Chardon, Ohio: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Chardon, located in Ohio, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2021, the city experienced a significant decrease in total property crimes, falling from 110 incidents in 2010 to 37 in 2021, marking a 66.36% reduction. This substantial decline occurred against a backdrop of relatively stable population growth, with the population increasing marginally from 5,558 in 2010 to 5,521 in 2022, a modest 0.63% increase.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a notable downward trend. In 2010, there were 6 burglaries reported, which decreased to just 2 incidents in 2021. This represents a 66.67% reduction over the period. When considering the population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 1.08 in 2010 to 0.36 in 2021. The city's contribution to state-wide burglary figures remained relatively constant at 0.01% throughout most of the period. This suggests that while the city has made progress in reducing burglaries, similar trends may be occurring across the state.
Larceny-theft, which constitutes the majority of property crimes in the city, also exhibited a substantial decline. From 104 incidents in 2010, the number decreased to 31 in 2021, a 70.19% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 18.71 in 2010 to 5.62 in 2021. The city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft figures fluctuated, peaking at 0.09% in 2013 and dropping to 0.03% by 2021. This indicates that the city's efforts in curbing larceny-theft have been particularly effective, outpacing state-wide improvements.
Motor vehicle theft trends in the city have been inconsistent but generally low. From 2010 to 2016, there were no reported incidents. However, there was a slight increase in later years, with 4 incidents reported in 2021. This translates to a rate of 0.72 per 1,000 residents in 2021. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft figures jumped from 0% to 0.03% in 2021, suggesting a localized issue that warrants attention despite the low absolute numbers.
Arson incidents in the city have been sporadic and infrequent. The highest number of reported arsons was 4 in 2011, representing 0.17% of state-wide arson cases that year. In most years, including 2021, there were no reported arson cases. This indicates that arson is not a persistent problem in the city, but occasional incidents do occur.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $73,219 in 2013 to $92,185 in 2021, total property crimes decreased from 103 to 37. Additionally, there's a noticeable correlation between the percentage of owner-occupied housing and crime rates. As owner occupancy increased from 60% in 2013 to 68% in 2021, property crimes decreased, suggesting that higher home ownership rates may contribute to lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, the city could see further reductions in property crime. Total property crimes could potentially decrease to around 25-30 incidents annually, with larceny-theft likely remaining the predominant type of property crime. However, vigilance should be maintained regarding motor vehicle thefts, as recent increases could potentially continue if not addressed.
In summary, Chardon has demonstrated significant improvements in property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. These positive trends, coupled with increasing median incomes and home ownership rates, suggest a community that is becoming safer and more stable. However, the recent uptick in motor vehicle thefts highlights the need for continued focus on crime prevention strategies to maintain and further improve these positive trends in the coming years.
