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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Calipatria, a city in California, presents an intriguing case study for property crime analysis. In 2010, the city recorded a total of 19 property crimes, serving as a baseline for trend analysis. Over the subsequent years, Calipatria experienced significant population fluctuations, declining from 12,077 in 2010 to 7,010 in 2022, a decrease of approximately 41.96%.
Examining burglary trends, we observe that in 2010, there were 12 reported cases, constituting 0.01% of the state's total burglaries. This translates to a rate of 0.99 burglaries per 1,000 residents. Larceny-theft incidents in 2010 totaled 7 cases, equating to 0.58 thefts per 1,000 residents. Interestingly, the data shows no reported motor vehicle thefts or arson cases in 2010. This absence of incidents could suggest either a very low incidence of these crimes or potential underreporting.
When examining potential correlations between property crime and other socioeconomic factors, we find a notable relationship with population density. As the population density decreased from 3,265 per square mile in 2010 to 1,895 per square mile in 2022, it's possible that this reduction in density could have influenced property crime rates. The median income in the city fluctuated considerably, dropping from $29,693 in 2013 to $22,830 in 2022. This economic instability could potentially impact property crime rates.
Regarding racial demographics, the Hispanic population has remained the majority, consistently representing over 70% of the city's residents from 2013 to 2022. The Black population has fluctuated between 12% and 16% during this period. These stable demographic patterns suggest that any changes in property crime rates are likely influenced by factors other than racial composition.
Predicting future property crime trends for Calipatria is challenging due to the limited historical data. However, based on the available information and assuming similar socioeconomic conditions persist, we might expect property crime rates to remain relatively stable or potentially decrease slightly in proportion to the declining population. By 2029, if current population trends continue, the city might see a further reduction in overall property crime numbers, although the rate per 1,000 residents may not change significantly.
In summary, Calipatria's property crime landscape in 2010 was characterized by a modest number of incidents, primarily burglaries and larceny-thefts, with no reported motor vehicle thefts or arsons. The city's dramatic population decline over the past decade likely had some impact on crime patterns, but the extent of this impact remains unclear due to data limitations. Moving forward, continued monitoring of crime rates in relation to population changes and economic factors will be crucial for understanding and addressing property crime in this evolving urban environment.