Motor vehicle theft occurrences have been infrequent in Calhoun. The highest number was recorded in 2013 with 2 incidents, representing 0.02% of the state's total. This equated to about 0.75 thefts per 1,000 residents. In most years, including 2010-2012, 2015, and 2017-2020, no motor vehicle thefts were reported. The sporadic nature of these incidents indicates that motor vehicle theft is not a significant ongoing concern for the community.

Arson cases have been non-existent in the reported data from 2010 to 2020, with zero incidents recorded throughout this period. This absence of arson cases suggests that fire-related property crimes are not a notable issue in the community.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city experienced a significant population density increase from 2,454 per square mile in 2010 to 2,802 per square mile in 2020, coinciding with an overall decrease in property crimes. This suggests that increased urbanization has not led to higher crime rates. Additionally, the median income rose from $44,998 in 2013 to $53,546 in 2020, a 19% increase, which may have contributed to the reduction in property crimes, particularly larceny-theft.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the overall decreasing trend. Based on the historical data, we might expect to see property crimes remain low, with potentially 2-4 incidents per year, primarily consisting of larceny-theft. However, given the small number of incidents and population size, even minor fluctuations could appear as significant percentage changes.

In summary, Calhoun has demonstrated a generally positive trend in property crime reduction over the past decade, particularly noteworthy given its population growth. The most significant improvements have been in larceny-theft rates, while burglary and motor vehicle theft remain infrequent occurrences. The absence of arson cases is a particularly positive aspect of the city's crime profile. These trends, coupled with increasing median income and population density, paint a picture of a community that has managed to maintain low property crime rates despite demographic changes. As the city continues to grow and develop, maintaining these positive trends will likely be a priority for local law enforcement and community leaders.