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Property Crime Trends in Bunn, NC: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Bunn, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of property crimes in the city decreased significantly from 38 to 13, representing a 65.8% reduction. During the same period, the population declined from 5,111 to 4,677, a 8.5% decrease.
The burglary trend in Bunn shows a notable decline over the years. In 2011, there were 3 burglaries reported, which dropped to 1 in 2022, representing a 66.7% decrease. When considering the population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.59 in 2011 to 0.21 in 2022. Interestingly, despite this decrease in absolute numbers, the city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.01% and 0.02% throughout the period. This suggests that while Bunn improved its burglary situation, it maintained a consistent proportion of the state's total burglaries.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also showed a downward trend. In 2011, there were 35 larceny-theft incidents, which reduced to 11 in 2022, marking a 68.6% decrease. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 people dropped from 6.85 in 2011 to 2.35 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's larceny-theft incidents decreased from 0.03% in 2011 to 0.01% in 2022, indicating that the city's improvement in this category outpaced the state average.
Motor vehicle theft in the city remained low throughout the period, with most years reporting zero incidents. The highest number recorded was 2 in 2019, which equates to a rate of 0.49 per 1,000 people. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated between 0% and 0.02%, suggesting that this crime category has a minimal impact on the city's overall property crime profile.
Arson incidents were consistently reported as zero throughout the entire period from 2011 to 2022. This absence of arson cases indicates that it is not a significant concern for the city and has no impact on the state's arson statistics.
A strong correlation is observed between the decline in property crimes and the decrease in population density. As the population density dropped from 9,471 per square mile in 2011 to 8,667 in 2022, the total property crimes also decreased. Additionally, there appears to be an inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $29,339 in 2014 to $50,507 in 2022, property crimes decreased from 30 to 13 during the same period.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can expect the downward trend to continue, albeit at a slower rate. Based on the current trends, total property crimes could potentially decrease to around 8-10 incidents per year by 2029. However, this prediction assumes that current socioeconomic factors and law enforcement strategies remain relatively constant.
In summary, Bunn has experienced a significant reduction in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft categories. This improvement has occurred alongside population decline, increased median income, and relatively stable home ownership rates. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained low, indicating that local efforts to reduce property crime have been effective. As Bunn continues to evolve, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the community's safety and quality of life.
