Motor vehicle theft in Brownsburg has seen an upward trend. Incidents increased by 255.6%, from 9 in 2010 to 32 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people grew from 0.27 to 0.71 during this period. The town's share of state motor vehicle thefts doubled from 0.16% to 0.32%, indicating a significant increase relative to state averages.

Arson data for Brownsburg is limited and inconsistent, making trend analysis challenging. Reported cases ranged from 0 to 3 per year, with many years lacking data. The percentage of state arsons fluctuated greatly, but the small numbers make these percentages less meaningful.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and overall property crime rates in Brownsburg. As median income increased from $83,617 in 2013 to $102,418 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. Population density, which increased from 2,019 people per square mile in 2010 to 2,679 in 2022, shows a weak negative correlation with property crime rates, suggesting that increased density may have a slight dampening effect on property crimes.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for Brownsburg up to 2029, a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates is anticipated, with burglary likely to decrease further. Larceny theft is expected to stabilize or slightly decrease, while motor vehicle theft may continue its upward trend unless intervention measures are implemented.

In summary, Brownsburg has shown resilience in managing property crime rates despite significant population growth. The substantial decrease in burglaries, coupled with relatively stable larceny theft rates and increasing median incomes, paints a picture of a community effectively addressing certain aspects of property crime. However, the rise in motor vehicle thefts presents an ongoing challenge that may require targeted strategies in the coming years.