Motor vehicle theft remained stable with one reported case in both 2020 and 2021, consistently representing 0.01% of the state's total. However, due to the slight population increase, the rate per 1,000 residents decreased marginally from 0.24 in 2020 to 0.23 in 2021. This stability suggests that while motor vehicle theft is not a growing problem, it remains a persistent issue that requires ongoing attention.

Arson cases were reported as zero for both 2020 and 2021, representing 0% of the state's total. This absence of arson cases is a positive indicator for the city's fire safety and property protection measures.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's population density decreased slightly from 3,033 per square mile in 2020 to 3,020 in 2021, while the median income increased from $57,963.5 to $60,527 during the same period. This increase in median income, coupled with the decrease in property crimes, suggests a potential negative correlation between economic well-being and property crime rates.

The racial composition of the city remained predominantly white, with a slight decrease from 95% in 2020 to 94% in 2022. During this period, there was a small increase in Asian population from 0% to 2%, and the Hispanic population remained stable at 3%. These minor changes in racial distribution do not appear to have a strong correlation with the property crime trends observed.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (until 2029) suggests a continuation of the overall decreasing trend. Based on the current data, we can project that total property crimes may further decrease to around 7-8 cases annually by 2029. Larceny-theft is expected to remain the predominant type of property crime, potentially decreasing to 6-7 cases per year. Burglary and motor vehicle theft rates are likely to remain low, possibly fluctuating between 0-1 cases annually. Arson cases are predicted to remain at zero, barring any significant changes in local conditions.

In summary, Brookville has demonstrated a positive trend in reducing property crimes, particularly in larceny-theft and burglary. The stability in low rates of motor vehicle theft and the absence of arson cases further contribute to an improving property crime landscape. These trends, coupled with increasing median income and stable demographic composition, suggest a community that is making strides in enhancing public safety and property protection.