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Property Crime Trends in Brookside Village, Texas: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Brookside Village, located in Texas, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the city experienced a significant decrease in total property crimes, dropping from 23 incidents in 2010 to 16 in 2020, representing a 30.4% decrease. During this same period, the population declined from 1,898 in 2010 to 1,364 in 2020, a 28.1% decrease.
Burglary trends in the city show a notable decline over time. In 2010, there were 14 burglaries reported, which decreased to 5 in 2020, marking a 64.3% reduction. When considering population changes, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 7.38 in 2010 to 3.67 in 2020. The city's contribution to state burglary figures remained minimal, consistently at 0.01% or less throughout the reported years. This downward trend in burglaries suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft incidents also demonstrated a fluctuating but overall decreasing trend. The number of reported cases fell from 8 in 2010 to 0 in 2016, before rising again to 9 in 2020. The rate per 1,000 residents changed from 4.22 in 2010 to 6.60 in 2020. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft figures remained negligible at 0% throughout the period. The recent uptick in larceny-theft cases in 2020 may warrant attention from local law enforcement to prevent further increases.
Motor vehicle theft in the city remained relatively low and stable. There was 1 reported case in 2010, which remained the same in 2014, and increased slightly to 2 cases in 2020. The rate per 1,000 residents rose slightly from 0.53 in 2010 to 1.47 in 2020. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft figures was consistently reported as 0%. While the numbers are small, the slight increase in 2020 might indicate a need for increased vigilance in vehicle security.
Arson cases in the city were consistently reported as 0 throughout the available data years, from 2010 to 2020. This suggests that arson is not a significant concern for the community, with the city's contribution to state arson figures remaining at 0% throughout the period.
Examining correlations between crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 918 per square mile in 2010 to 660 in 2020, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime. Concurrently, the median income increased from $81,984 in 2013 to $86,879 in 2020, while the percentage of owner-occupied housing rose from 76% in 2013 to 90% in 2020. These trends suggest that increased homeownership and higher median incomes may contribute to lower property crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight increase in property crime rates. Based on the recent uptick in larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft cases in 2020, and assuming economic and demographic trends continue, we might expect to see property crimes ranging between 15-20 incidents annually by 2029.
In summary, Brookside Village has experienced a general decline in property crime over the past decade, with some fluctuations in specific categories. The most significant reductions were seen in burglaries, while larceny-theft showed recent increases. The city's contribution to state crime figures remained minimal across all categories. The correlation between rising homeownership, increasing median income, and decreasing property crime rates presents a positive trend for the community. However, the recent uptick in certain crime categories and the projected slight increase in the coming years suggest that ongoing vigilance and proactive measures will be crucial in maintaining the overall positive trajectory of property crime reduction in Brookside Village.
