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Property Crime Trends in Brentwood, California: A City Grappling with Growth and Safety
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Brentwood, located in California, has experienced notable shifts in property crime trends over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes increased by 20.9%, from 1,117 to 1,351. This change occurred alongside a significant population growth, though exact figures for earlier years are unavailable. As of 2022, the city's population stood at 66,120.
The burglary trend in the city shows fluctuations over time. In 2010, there were 214 burglaries, which increased to 273 in 2017, representing a 27.6% rise. However, by 2022, the number decreased to 226, a 17.2% drop from the 2017 peak. When considering the 2022 population, the burglary rate was approximately 3.42 per 1,000 residents. The city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.12% in 2010 to 0.19% in 2022, indicating a growing proportion of California's burglaries occurring in this area.
Larceny-theft cases demonstrated an upward trend. In 2010, there were 796 incidents, which rose to 992 by 2022, marking a 24.6% increase. Based on the 2022 population, the larceny-theft rate was about 15 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft incidents grew from 0.15% in 2010 to 0.20% in 2022, suggesting an increasing share of these crimes within the state context.
Motor vehicle theft showed a concerning upward trend. From 107 incidents in 2010, it increased to 133 in 2022, a 24.3% rise. The 2022 rate was approximately 2 motor vehicle thefts per 1,000 residents. The city's portion of state motor vehicle thefts remained relatively stable, moving from 0.08% in 2010 to 0.09% in 2022.
Arson cases fluctuated significantly. From 21 incidents in 2010, it dropped to just 1 case in 2018, but then rose again to 5 cases in 2020. Unfortunately, data for 2022 is not available. The city's share of state arson cases decreased dramatically from 0.34% in 2010 to 0.05% in 2020, indicating a reduced proportion of these crimes occurring in the area relative to the state.
A strong correlation exists between property crime trends and population density. As the population density increased to 4,447 people per square mile in 2022, property crimes also rose. This suggests that the growing concentration of people may contribute to increased criminal opportunities.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, it's estimated that by 2029, Brentwood may see a continued increase in overall property crimes. Larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft are likely to show the most significant growth, potentially reaching around 1,200 and 160 incidents respectively. Burglaries may stabilize around 230 cases annually.
In summary, Brentwood has experienced an overall increase in property crimes, particularly in larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft, while burglary rates have fluctuated. The city's growing population and increasing density appear to be significant factors influencing these trends. As the city continues to develop, addressing these property crime challenges will be crucial for maintaining community safety and quality of life.
