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Property Crime Trends in Breese, Illinois: A Decade of Significant Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Breese, located in Illinois, has experienced fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade, set against a backdrop of modest population growth. From 2012 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased from 38 to 14, representing a significant 63.2% reduction. During this same period, the city's population grew from 5,278 to 5,556, an increase of 5.3%.
Burglary trends in the city have been notably low, with most years reporting zero incidents. The only recorded burglary occurred in 2022, with one case reported. This translates to a rate of 0.18 burglaries per 1,000 residents in 2022. The percentage of state burglaries attributable to the city remained minimal, at 0.01% in 2022. This extremely low burglary rate suggests a relatively secure environment for residents and businesses in terms of break-ins and unauthorized entries.
Larceny-theft has consistently been the predominant form of property crime in the city. In 2012, there were 38 larceny-theft incidents, which decreased to 12 cases by 2022, marking a 68.4% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 7.2 in 2012 to 2.16 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft decreased from 0.02% in 2012 to 0.01% in 2022. This significant decline in larceny-theft rates indicates improving community safety and potentially more effective crime prevention strategies.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been rare, with only one incident reported in 2019 and another in 2022. This translates to a rate of 0.18 thefts per 1,000 residents in both years. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft remained negligible at 0.01% in 2019 and 0% in 2022. The infrequency of motor vehicle thefts suggests that residents face a low risk of having their vehicles stolen.
Arson cases have been non-existent in the reported data for the city from 2012 to 2022. This absence of arson incidents over a decade indicates a very low fire-related crime risk in the community.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $63,799 in 2013 to $68,073 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. However, the relationship is not perfect, as evidenced by fluctuations in crime rates despite steadily increasing incomes. The percentage of owner-occupied housing remained relatively stable, ranging from 80% to 87% between 2013 and 2022, which may have contributed to the overall low crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), property crime rates in the city could further decrease by approximately 20-25% from 2022 levels. This would potentially bring the total number of property crimes down to around 10-11 incidents per year.
In summary, Breese has demonstrated a positive trend in property crime reduction over the past decade, with significant decreases in larceny-theft and consistently low rates of burglary, motor vehicle theft, and arson. The city's contribution to state-wide property crimes remains minimal across all categories. These trends, coupled with rising median incomes and stable homeownership rates, suggest a community that has become increasingly secure and economically stable. If current trends continue, residents can expect to see further improvements in public safety related to property crimes in the coming years.
